Chest
Volume 132, Issue 6, December 2007, Pages 1932-1938
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Original Research
Lung Cancer
Assessing the Relationship Between Lung Cancer Risk and Emphysema Detected on Low-Dose CT of the Chest

https://doi.org/10.1378/chest.07-1490Get rights and content

Rationale: Identification of risk factors for lung cancer can help in selecting patients who may benefit the most from smoking cessation interventions, early detection, or chemoprevention.

Objective

To evaluate whether the presence of emphysema on low-radiation-dose CT (LDCT) of the chest is an independent risk factor for lung cancer.

Methods

The study used data from a prospective cohort of 1,166 former and current smokers participating in a lung cancer screening study. All individuals underwent a baseline LDCT and spirometry followed by yearly repeat LDCT studies. The incidence density of lung cancer among patients with and without emphysema on LDCT was estimated. Stratified and multiple regression analyses were used to assess whether emphysema is an independent risk factor for lung cancer after adjusting for age, gender, smoking history, and the presence of airway obstruction on spirometry.

Results

On univariate analysis, the incidence density of lung cancer among individuals with and without emphysema on LDCT was 25.0 per 1,000 person-years and 7.5 per 1,000 person-years, respectively (risk ratio [RR], 3.33; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.41 to 7.85). Emphysema was also associated with increased risk of lung cancer when the analysis was limited to individuals without airway obstruction on spirometry (RR, 4.33; 95% CI, 1.04 to 18.16). Multivariate analysis showed that the presence of emphysema (RR, 2.51; 95% CI, 1.01 to 6.23) on LDCT but not airway obstruction (RR, 2.10; 95% CI, 0.79 to 5.58) was associated with increased risk of lung cancer after adjusting for potential cofounders.

Conclusions

Results suggest that the presence of emphysema on LDCT is an independent risk factor for lung cancer.

Section snippets

Materials and Methods

The study was conducted using data from a prospective cohort of individuals enrolled in a lung cancer screening study using LDCT from September 2000 to December 2005.8 Eligibility criteria included age ≥ 40 years, > 10 pack-year smoking history, and no symptoms of lung cancer. The study protocol consisted of a baseline LDCT of the chest followed by annual repeat studies for up to 5 years. All patients underwent spirometry at enrollment and a baseline standardized questionnaire to collect

Results

A total of 1,166 individuals were included in the study. Baseline characteristics of the study participants are shown in Table 1. All participants were white western Europeans, mean age was 54 ± 8 years, and 74% were male. The median number of pack-years smoked was 33 (IQR: 22 pack-years). Overall, 29% (95% CI, 26 to 31%) of the subjects had emphysema on baseline LDCT and 25% (95% CI, 22 to 27%) had airway obstruction on spirometry (Fig 1). Fifty-three percent of the participants with emphysema

Discussion

Results of this prospective cohort study of current and former smokers suggest that the presence of emphysema on LDCT is associated with an increased risk for lung cancer. Stratified and multivariate analyses showed that this association was significant even after controlling for the presence of airway obstruction on spirometry, suggesting that emphysema on LDCT is an independent risk factor for lung cancer. This information can help identify patients at high risk for lung cancer who may

Acknowledgments

The authors thank Elena De Miguel, RN, and Teresa Jiménez, RN, for performing the pulmonary function tests.

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    The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the University Clinic of Navarra.

    This work was funded in part by the Spanish Ministry of Health (FIS project PI04/2404) and the Department of Health of the Government of Navarra.

    The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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