Table 2– Model inputs
Base caseLowHigh[Ref.]
Median OS months
 No selection#5.64.67.0[8]
 Clinical selection
  Positive9.45.512.7[8]
  Negative+8.05.110.4[8]
 EGFR-based selection
  Positive§14.48.020.6[8]
  Negativeƒ8.05.110.4[8]
Median PFS months
 No selection#2.42.32.6[8]
 Clinical selection
  Positive2.92.53.8[8]
  Negative+2.82.24.2[8]
 EGFR-based selection
  Positiveƒ8.43.015.3[8]
  Negative##2.82.24.2[20]
Health state utilities[23, 24]
 Stable disease on oral therapy0.6700.270.80
 Stable disease on i.v. therapy0.6530.260.78
 Progressive disease0.4730.190.56
 Death0
Prevalence of EGFR mutation0.080.010.15[8]
Cost of medical services and drugs €
Erlotinib 30-day supply 150 mg2174.7
Mean duration of erlotinib treatment months2.50.126.0
Docetaxel per mg10.7
Mean number of docetaxel cycles3.7±1.9
Cost of hospitalisation for docetaxel administration368
Frequency of hospitalisation for adverse events0.44±0.84[25]
G-CSF injection per cycle557.416273021
Erythropoietin per cycle199.191400
Palliative care after progression per month2324
EGFR test130
  • OS: overall survival; EGFR: epidermal growth factor receptor; PFS: progression-free survival; G-CSF: granulocyte colony-stimulating factor. #: n=522; : n=114; +: n=408; §: n=44; ƒ: n=478; ##: n=75.