TABLE 2

Binary logistic regression model of factors predictive of death at 120 days from the point of diagnosis of pneumomediastinum (all patients eligible for mechanical ventilation, n=315)

seOR or % increase per unit (95% CI)p-value
Mechanically ventilated (at diagnosis)1.40±0.264.0 (2.4–6.7)<0.001
Age−0.38±0.123.7% (1.4–5.9%) per year<0.01
Diabetes mellitus0.59±0.341.8 (0.9–3.5)0.08

All variables significantly associated with mortality in univariate analyses were entered into the model backwards stepwise. The model produces a prediction accuracy for outcome of 68.4% versus a 51.1% default accuracy. Model R2=0.251, Nagelkerke, χ2(6)=65.2, p<0.001. Constant B±se=2.38±0.79. Variables in the regression but not listed: subcutaneous emphysema (p=0.12), hypertension (p=0.35) and ischaemic heart disease/left ventricular systolic dysfunction (p=0.50).