TABLE 2

Binary Logistic Regression Model of factors predictive of death at 120 days from the point of diagnosis of pneumomediastinum (all patients eligible for mechanical ventilation, n=315)

B(se)Odds Ratio or % increase per unit (95% CI)p
Mechanically ventilated (at diagnosis)1.40 (0.26)4.0 (2.4–6.7)<0.001
Age−0.38 (0.12)3.7% per year (1.4–5.9)<0.01
Diabetes mellitus0.59 (0.34)1.8 (0.9–3.5)0.08

All variables significantly associated with mortality in univariate analyses were entered into the model stepwise, backwards. The model produces prediction accuracy for outcome of 68.4% versus a 51.1% default accuracy.

Model R2=0.251 Nagelkerke χ2 (6)=65.2 p<0.001. Constant B(se)=2.38 (0.79) Variables in the regression but not listed, subcutaneous emphysema (p=0.12), Hypertension (p=0.35), ischaemic heart disease/left ventricular systolic dysfunction (p=0.50).