TABLE 2

R0 estimated in the models of increasing and declining phases based on mortality data and confimed cases of COVID-19 19 up to 29th April2020

CountryConfirmed casesDeaths
NR0 BeforeR0 AfterNR0 BeforeR0 After
USA1 551 8533.6 (3.4, 3.8)0.97 (0.94, 1.00)93 4393.2 (2.7, 3.7)0.89 (0.84, 0.94)
UK248 8182.1, (1.8, 2.3)0.99 (0.96, 1.02)35 7042.6 (2.4, 2.9)0.85 (0.80, 0.90)
Italy227 3642.2 (2.0, 2.4)0.89 (0.87, 0.91)32 3303.7 (3.1, 4.4)0.81 (0.79, 0.84)
France143 8452.0 (1.8, 2.1)0.76 (0.72, 0.82)28 1322.7 (2.4, 3.0)0.77 (0.73, 0.80)
Spain233 2862.2 (2.1, 2.4)0.74 (0.71, 0.78)27 8883.2 (2.4, 4.1)0.78 (0.73, 0.82)