TABLE 4

Univariate Cox regression analyses comparing the Gender, Age, Physiology (GAP) index staging system with scores derived from two separate hazard ratio formulae

Composite score (max score 3)Hazard ratio (95% CI)p-valueHarrell's c-index
Univariate analysis
 GAP index staging system2.00 (1.61–2.48)<0.00010.62
 CALIPER–CPI2.23 (1.85–2.69)<0.00010.67
 CALIPER only2.14 (1.78–2.58)<0.00010.67
Bivariate analysis
 GAP index staging system1.25 (0.97–1.62)0.09
 CALIPER–CPI1.99 (1.58–2.50)<0.0001
  GAP index staging system#(-0.03–0.48)0.09
  CALIPER–CPI#(0.46–0.95)0.001
 GAP index staging system1.41 (1.11–1.80)0.005
 CALIPER only1.87 (1.51–2.30)<0.0001
  GAP index staging system#(0.10–0.59)0.007
  CALIPER only#(0.41–0.86)0.001

CALIPER–CPI: derived from the hazard ratios of the three independent predictors of mortality in a combined visual, CALIPER and pulmonary function index multivariate model. CALIPER only: derived from the hazard ratios of CALIPER variables that were independent predictors of mortality. Bivariate analyses compared the hazard ratio derived scores to the GAP index staging system with the results confirmed on bootstrapping of 1000 samples. CPI: composite physiologic index. #: bootstrapped results.