TABLE 3

Incidence rates and hazard ratios of death and hospitalisations due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) by quartile (Q) of forced expiratory volume in 1 s % predicted

Q4#,¶Q3Q2Q1+p-value for trend
Subjects n172172173172
COPD events n (n per 1000person-years)14 (3.35)11 (2.67)22 (5.75)41 (13.52)
COPD events unadjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)1.000.86 (0.39–1.89)1.86 (0.95–3.65)4.88 (2.64–9.01)<0.001
COPD events adjusted hazard ratio§ (95% CI)1.000.74 (0.33–1.63)1.60 (0.81–3.16)3.84 (2.03–7.27)<0.001
Deaths unadjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)1.001.18 (0.95–1.46)1.29 (1.04–1.59)1.96 (1.58–2.43)<0.001
Deaths adjusted hazard ratio§,ƒ (95% CI)1.001.09 (0.87–1.35)1.20 (0.97–1.49)1.67 (1.34–2.10)<0.001
  • Q4: 107–143% predicted; Q3: 98–107% predicted; Q2: 86–97% predicted; Q1: 42–86% predicted. #: highest quartile; : reference quartile; +: lowest quartile; §: adjusted for smoking status (three groups: never, ex- and current smokers), diabetes, body mass index, height and physical activity (three groups: high, moderate and low physical activity); ƒ: additionally adjusted for systolic blood pressure and cholesterol.