TABLE 3

Tuberculosis (TB) burden trends and projections in 33 low-incidence countries

Country or territoryPopulation millionsEstimated TB mortality rate in 2012 per million#Estimated TB incidence rate in 2012 per millionTB notification rate in 2012 per millionForeign-born notified TB cases in 2012 %Annual rate of change in incidence in 2000–2012+ %Incidence per million in 2035 if 90% reduction in 2015–2035Required annual rate of decline to reach elimination by 2035 %Required annual rate of decline to reach elimination by 2050 %
Australia23.11.96457870.86.5−18−11
Austria8.54.2797349−6.16.6−19−12
Bahamas0.43.7110860−6.99.0−20−12
Belgium11.15.9938253−3.38.4−20−12
Canada34.81.9504864−2.24.7−17−10
Costa Rica4.68.01199915−4.110.5−21−13
Cuba11.33.393652−2.18.7−20−12
Cyprus1.12.06479744.87.4−18−11
Czech Republic10.73.5595617−8.64.6−18−11
Denmark5.64.0706161−3.86.3−18−11
Finland5.42.9624829−4.75.4−18−11
France63.94.6897456−2.78.2−20−12
Germany82.83.5534948−6.64.4−17−10
Greece11.16.9484738−3.94.3−17−10
Iceland0.32.7403182−0.34.0−16−10
Ireland4.63.9837544−3.17.5−19−12
Israel7.62.3586290−4.65.0−18−11
Italy60.94.3625158−2.55.7−18−11
Jamaica2.82.26533NA0.06.5−18−11
Jordan7.05.3584729−2.55.4−18−11
Luxembourg0.54.2738671−3.56.5−20−12
Malta0.43.710198857.612.6−19−11
The Netherlands16.71.7635573−3.85.6−18−11
New Zealand4.51.0746676−3.86.6−19−11
Norway5.01.47669851.37.9−19−11
Puerto Rico3.72.3221913−7.91.7−13−8
Slovakia5.56.377591−9.15.8−19−11
Slovenia2.19.7846535−8.16.6−19−12
Sweden9.51.46862852.57.4−18−11
Switzerland8.02.2675275−3.26.1−18−11
United Arab Emirates9.21.0179NA−11.91.2−12−7
USA318.01.4363263−5.03.1−16−9
West Bank and Gaza Strip4.22.3768NA−4.86.6−19−11
Unweighted average4.0268665436.31811
  • NA: not available. #: from the World Health Organization (WHO) global TB database [20]; : from the WHO global TB database [20], updated with data from countries responding to the survey; +: annual rates of change, where estimated, were based on estimated incidence rates from the slope of a linear regression model using log-transformed rates.