PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Alaa Mohamed AU - Shibuya Kiyoshi AU - T. Fujiwara AU - W. Hironobu AU - H. Hoshino AU - S. Yoshida AU - M. Suzuki AU - K. Hiroshima AU - Y. Nakatani AU - Aliae Mohamed-Hussein AU - Maha Elkouly AU - Tarek Mahfouz AU - I. Yochino TI - Risk of lung cancer in patients with preinvasive bronchial lesions followed by autoflurescence bronchoscopy and chest computed tomography DP - 2011 Sep 01 TA - European Respiratory Journal PG - p1974 VI - 38 IP - Suppl 55 4099 - http://erj.ersjournals.com/content/38/Suppl_55/p1974.short 4100 - http://erj.ersjournals.com/content/38/Suppl_55/p1974.full SO - Eur Respir J2011 Sep 01; 38 AB - Introduction and aim of the work: To assess risk of lung cancer (LC) in patients with preinvasive bronchial lesions and to identify factors associated with higher risk.Patients and methods: 124 patients with one or more preinvasive bronchial lesions and normal chest computed tomography (CT) (mean age 66.7 years, 121 males and 3 females), followed-up by white light and autofluorescence bronchoscopy (AFB) every 4-6 mo and chest CT every 6-12 mo, end points were development of carcinoma in situ (CIS) or LC.Results: Among 124 patients with 240 preinvasive bronchial lesions, 20 CIS or LC lesions were detected during follow-up in 20 (16%) patients, 7 were detected as new endobronchial lesions, 10 as new peripheral lesions and 3 as local progression from severe dysplasia to CIS. Median time to progression was 24 months (range: 6-54 mo). The Cumulative risk of progression was 7% at one year, 20% at three years and 44% at 5 years. Among detected lung cancers, 80% were stage 0 or stage1 and underwent treatment with curative intent. Diagnosis of new SD during follow-up (p=0.0001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (p = 0.001) or smoking index >52 packyear (p = 0.042) was associated with higher risk. Even after controlling for other risk factors,COPD was associated with risk of progression. Baseline lesion grade was not predictive of patient outcome (p = 0.146).Conclusions: Patients with preinvasive bronchial lesions, especially those with new SD during follow-up, COPD or smoking >52 pack-year are at high risk of LC, AFB and CT follow-up facilitated early detection and treatment with curative intent.