RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Risk factors for emergency re-attendance for acute childhood asthma in the city of Esmeraldas, Ecuador JF European Respiratory Journal JO Eur Respir J FD European Respiratory Society SP PA4386 DO 10.1183/13993003.congress-2016.PA4386 VO 48 IS suppl 60 A1 Ardura-Garcia, Cristina A1 Arias, Erick A1 Hurtado, Paola A1 Sandoval, Carlos A1 Cooper, Phil A1 Blakey, John YR 2016 UL http://erj.ersjournals.com/content/48/suppl_60/PA4386.abstract AB Introduction: Asthma exacerbations are common and are associated with substantial morbidity and a risk of death. A tool to assess a child's risk of recurrent acute exacerbations could help optimise their treatment and address modifiable risk factors. Targeting resources toward those at highest risk is a particular need in lower-income settings.Aim: To identify predictors of future asthma attacks in children requiring emergency re-attendance in a low resource setting.Methods Design: prospective cohort study.Setting: Public hospital and health centres in Esmeraldas City, Ecuador.Population: Children aged 5-15 years presenting to the ER with acute asthma.Measures: questionnaires; blood, stool, and nasal wash samples; spirometry; Fraction of Exhaled Nitric Oxide (FeNO).Outcomes: Number and severity of asthma attacks over subsequent 6 months.Results: 119 of 241 children completing 6-month follow-up had a subsequent asthma attack requiring emergency care. In univariate analysis, risk factors for recurrence were: younger age, early life severe respiratory illness, food triggers, number and severity of previous attendances for asthma, serum eosinophils and post-bronchodilator FEV1. In a multivariate logistic regression model, prior asthma diagnosis (OR: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.02-4.36), food trigger (OR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.04-3.98), and post-bronchodilator FEV1 (% of predicted) (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), remained statistically significant.Conclusions: Independent risk factors for recurrent emergency attendance with asthma can be identified. These factors differ in some respects from those previously identified in higher-income countries, and were largely not modifiable.