The potential impact of COVID-19-related disruption on tuberculosis burden

Cumulative change in TB (a–c) incidence and (d–f) deaths over 5 years as a result of social and/or health system disruption due to the COVID-19 pandemic for (a and d) China, (b and e) India and (c and f) South Africa. Results show the median of model runs, while whiskers denote the range of run results. Small black crosses indicate author assessment of most plausible scenarios based on current anecdotal information. Note y-axes scales differ by country and indicator.