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Respective roles of non-pharmaceutical interventions in bronchiolitis outbreaks: an interrupted time-series analysis based on a multinational surveillance system

Lea Lenglart, Naim Ouldali, Kate Honeyford, Zsolt Bognar, Silvia Bressan, Danilo Buonsenso, Liviana Da Dalt, Tisham De, Ruth Farrugia, Ian K. Maconochie, Henriette A. Moll, Rianne Oostenbrink, Niccolo Parri, Damian Roland, Katy Rose, Esra Akyüz Özkan, François Angoulvant, Camille Aupiais, Clarissa Barber, Michael Barrett, Romain Basmaci, Susana Castanhinha, Antonio Chiaretti, Sheena Durnin, Patrick Fitzpatrick, Laszlo Fodor, Borja Gomez, Susanne Greber-Platzer, Romain Guedj, Florian Hey, Lina Jankauskaite, Daniela Kohlfuerst, Ines Mascarenhas, Anna Maria Musolino, Zanda Pučuka, Sofia Reis, Alexis Rybak, Petra Salamon, Matthias Schaffert, Keren Shahar-Nissan, Maria Chiara Supino, Ozlem Teksam, Caner Turan, Roberto Velasco, Ruud G. Nijman, Luigi Titomanlio, the EPISODES Study Group
European Respiratory Journal 2023 61: 2201172; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.01172-2022
Lea Lenglart
1Paediatric Emergency Department, Robert Debré University Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Paris, France
45L. Lenglart and N. Ouldali contributed equally to this work
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Naim Ouldali
2Department of General Paediatrics, Paediatric Infectious Disease and Internal Medicine, Robert Debré University Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Paris, France
3Infectious Diseases Division, CHU Sainte Justine, Montreal University, Montreal, QC, Canada
4Paris University, INSERM UMR 1123, ECEVE, Paris, France
5Association Clinique et Thérapeutique Infantile du Val-de-Marne, St Maur-des-Fossés, France
45L. Lenglart and N. Ouldali contributed equally to this work
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Kate Honeyford
6Health Informatics Team, Division of Clinical studies, Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK
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Zsolt Bognar
7Paediatric Emergency Department, Heim Pal National Paediatric Institute, Budapest, Hungary
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Silvia Bressan
8Division of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Department of Women's and Children's Health, University Hospital of Padova, Padova, Italy
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Danilo Buonsenso
9Department of Woman and Child Health and Public Health, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
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Liviana Da Dalt
8Division of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Department of Women's and Children's Health, University Hospital of Padova, Padova, Italy
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Tisham De
10Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Ruth Farrugia
11Department of Child and Adolescent Health, Mater Dei Hospital, Msida, Malta
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Ian K. Maconochie
12Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Division of Medicine, St Mary's Hospital, Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust, London, UK
13Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
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Henriette A. Moll
14Department of General Paediatrics, ErasmusMC – Sophia, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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Rianne Oostenbrink
14Department of General Paediatrics, ErasmusMC – Sophia, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
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Niccolo Parri
15Emergency Department and Trauma Center, Ospedale Paediatrico Meyer Firenze, Florence, Italy
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Damian Roland
16SAPPHIRE Group, Health Sciences, Leicester University, Leicester, UK
17Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, Leicester Hospitals, Leicester, UK
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Katy Rose
12Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Division of Medicine, St Mary's Hospital, Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust, London, UK
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Esra Akyüz Özkan
18Paediatric Emergency Department, Ondokuz Mayıs University, Samsun, Turkey
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François Angoulvant
2Department of General Paediatrics, Paediatric Infectious Disease and Internal Medicine, Robert Debré University Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Paris, France
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Camille Aupiais
4Paris University, INSERM UMR 1123, ECEVE, Paris, France
19Paediatric Emergency Department, Jean Verdier Hospital, AP-HP, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Bondy, France
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Clarissa Barber
20Paediatric Emergency Department, University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
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Michael Barrett
21Paediatric Emergency Department, Children's Health Ireland at Crumlin, Dublin, Ireland
22Women's and Children's Health, School of Medicine, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
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Romain Basmaci
23Paediatric Emergency Department, Louis Mourier Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Colombes, France
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Susana Castanhinha
24Hospital Dona Estefania, Centro Hospitalar de Lisboa Central, Lisbon, Portugal
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Antonio Chiaretti
9Department of Woman and Child Health and Public Health, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
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Sheena Durnin
25Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Children's Health Ireland at Tallaght, Dublin, Ireland
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Patrick Fitzpatrick
26Paediatric Emergency Department, Children's Health Ireland at Temple Street, Dublin, Ireland
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Laszlo Fodor
27Paediatric Emergency Department, Szent Gyorgy University Teaching Hospital of Fejer County, Szekesfehervar, Hungary
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Borja Gomez
28Paediatric Emergency Department, Cruces University Hospital, Biocruces Bizkaia Health Research Institute, Barakaldo, Spain
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Susanne Greber-Platzer
29Clinical Division of Paediatric Pulmonology, Allergology and Endocrinology, Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Comprehensive Centre for Paediatrics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
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Romain Guedj
30Paediatric Emergency Department, Armand Trousseau Hospital, AP-HP, Sorbonne Université, CRESS Inserm U-1153 Paris, Epopé Team, Paris, France
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Florian Hey
31Pediatric Intensive Care Unit and Emergency Department, Dr von Hauner Children's Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany
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Lina Jankauskaite
32Hospital of Lithuanian University of Health Sciences Kauno Klinikos, Kaunas, Lithuania
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Daniela Kohlfuerst
33Department of General Paediatrics, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
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Ines Mascarenhas
34Departamento da Criança e do Jovem, Urgencia Pediatrica, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando da Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal
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Anna Maria Musolino
35Emergency Department, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, IRCCS, Rome, Italy
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Zanda Pučuka
36Paediatric Emergency Department, Children's Clinical University Hospital, Riga Stradins University, Riga, Latvia
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Sofia Reis
37Paediatric Department, Centro Hospitalar Tondela-Viseu, Viseu, Portugal
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Alexis Rybak
1Paediatric Emergency Department, Robert Debré University Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Paris, France
4Paris University, INSERM UMR 1123, ECEVE, Paris, France
5Association Clinique et Thérapeutique Infantile du Val-de-Marne, St Maur-des-Fossés, France
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Petra Salamon
7Paediatric Emergency Department, Heim Pal National Paediatric Institute, Budapest, Hungary
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Matthias Schaffert
38Department of Pediatrics and Department of Paediatric and Adolescent Surgery, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria
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Keren Shahar-Nissan
39Paediatric Emergency Department, Schneider Children's Medical Center of Israel and Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Petach Tikva, Israel
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Maria Chiara Supino
35Emergency Department, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, IRCCS, Rome, Italy
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Ozlem Teksam
40Division of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Department of Paediatrics, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey
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Caner Turan
41Department of Paediatrics, Division of Emergency Medicine, Mersin City Training and Research Hospital, Toroslar, Turkey
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Roberto Velasco
42Paediatric Emergency Unit, Hospital Universitario Río Hortega, Valladolid, Spain
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Ruud G. Nijman
10Section of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
12Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Division of Medicine, St Mary's Hospital, Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust, London, UK
13Centre for Paediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
46R.G. Nijman and L. Titomanlio contributed equally to this work
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Luigi Titomanlio
1Paediatric Emergency Department, Robert Debré University Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Paris, France
43Paris University, INSERM U1141, DHU Protect, Paris, France
46R.G. Nijman and L. Titomanlio contributed equally to this work
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44A list of EPISODES Study Group members is provided in the Acknowledgements
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Abstract

Background Bronchiolitis is a major source of morbimortality among young children worldwide. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented to reduce the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 may have had an important impact on bronchiolitis outbreaks, as well as major societal consequences. Discriminating between their respective impacts would help define optimal public health strategies against bronchiolitis. We aimed to assess the respective impact of each NPI on bronchiolitis outbreaks in 14 European countries.

Methods We conducted a quasi-experimental interrupted time-series analysis based on a multicentre international study. All children diagnosed with bronchiolitis presenting to the paediatric emergency department of one of 27 centres from January 2018 to March 2021 were included. We assessed the association between each NPI and change in the bronchiolitis trend over time by seasonally adjusted multivariable quasi-Poisson regression modelling.

Results In total, 42 916 children were included. We observed an overall cumulative 78% (95% CI −100– −54%; p<0.0001) reduction in bronchiolitis cases following NPI implementation. The decrease varied between countries from −97% (95% CI −100– −47%; p=0.0005) to −36% (95% CI −79–7%; p=0.105). Full lockdown (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.21 (95% CI 0.14–0.30); p<0.001), secondary school closure (IRR 0.33 (95% CI 0.20–0.52); p<0.0001), wearing a mask indoors (IRR 0.49 (95% CI 0.25–0.94); p=0.034) and teleworking (IRR 0.55 (95% CI 0.31–0.97); p=0.038) were independently associated with reducing bronchiolitis.

Conclusions Several NPIs were associated with a reduction of bronchiolitis outbreaks, including full lockdown, school closure, teleworking and facial masking. Some of these public health interventions may be considered to further reduce the global burden of bronchiolitis.

Abstract

Among the various non-pharmaceutical interventions implemented against SARS-CoV-2 in Europe, full lockdown, school closure, facial masking and teleworking were preventive measures associated with a reduction in the number of bronchiolitis cases https://bit.ly/3SyqqYS

Footnotes

  • EPISODES Study Group: Vanda Anacleto, Departamento da Criança e do Jovem, Urgencia Pediatrica, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando da Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal; Orkun Aydin, Division of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Department of Paediatrics, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Ankara, Turkey; Elena Bellelli, Emergency Department, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Ron Berant, Paediatric Emergency Department, Schneider Children's Medical Center of Israel and Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Petach Tikva, Israel; Thibault De Groc, Paediatric Emergency Department, Louis Mourier Hospital, AP-HP, Université de Paris, Colombes, France; Sara Geitoeira, Paediatric Department, Centro Hospitalar Tondela-Viseu, Viseu, Portugal; Florian Hoffmann, Pediatric Intensive Care Unit and Emergency Department, Dr von Hauner Children's Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich, Munich, Germany; Franziska Leeb, Clinical Division of Paediatric Pulmonology, Allergology and Endocrinology, Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Comprehensive Centre for Paediatrics, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; Fiona Leonard, Paediatric Emergency Department, Children's Health Ireland at Crumlin, Dublin, Ireland; Mark Lyttle, Paediatric Emergency Department, University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK; Lia Mano, Department of Paediatric Emergency Medicine, Children's Health Ireland at Tallaght, Dublin, Ireland; Vytenis Masillonis, Hospital of Lithuanian University of Health Sciences Kauno Klinikos, Kaunas, Lithuania; Rosa Morello, Department of Woman and Child Health and Public Health, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy; Francisa Saraiva, Departamento da Criança e do Jovem, Urgencia Pediatrica, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando da Fonseca, Amadora, Portugal; Gabor Simon, Paediatric Emergency Department, Szent Gyorgy University Teaching Hospital of Fejer County, Szekesfehervar, Hungary; Ines Silva Costa, Paediatric Department, Centro Hospitalar Tondela-Viseu, Viseu, Portugal; Joao Sous Marques, Paediatric Department, Centro Hospitalar Tondela-Viseu, Viseu, Portugal; Jonas Thüminger, Department of Pediatrics and Department of Paediatric and Adolescent Surgery, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria; Corinne Vasilico, Department of Pediatrics and Department of Paediatric and Adolescent Surgery, Paracelsus Medical University, Salzburg, Austria; Anna Chiara Vittucci, Emergency Department, Bambino Gesù Children's Hospital, IRCCS, Rome, Italy; and Christoph Zurl, Medical University of Graz, Department of General Paediatrics, Graz, Austria.

  • This article has an editorial commentary: https://doi.org/10.1183/13993003.02214-2022

  • Conflict of interest: N. Ouldali reports travel grants from Pfizer, GSK and Sanofi. No other authors have conflicts of interest to disclose.

  • Support statement: N. Ouldali is supported by the ESPID 2021-2023 fellowship award, R.G. Nijman by the NIHR ACL 2018-021-007 award and K. Honeyford by the NIHR (HS&DR) project NIHR129082. Funding information for this article has been deposited with the Crossref Funder Registry.

  • Received June 8, 2022.
  • Accepted September 23, 2022.
  • Copyright ©The authors 2023. For reproduction rights and permissions contact permissions{at}ersnet.org
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Respective roles of non-pharmaceutical interventions in bronchiolitis outbreaks: an interrupted time-series analysis based on a multinational surveillance system
Lea Lenglart, Naim Ouldali, Kate Honeyford, Zsolt Bognar, Silvia Bressan, Danilo Buonsenso, Liviana Da Dalt, Tisham De, Ruth Farrugia, Ian K. Maconochie, Henriette A. Moll, Rianne Oostenbrink, Niccolo Parri, Damian Roland, Katy Rose, Esra Akyüz Özkan, François Angoulvant, Camille Aupiais, Clarissa Barber, Michael Barrett, Romain Basmaci, Susana Castanhinha, Antonio Chiaretti, Sheena Durnin, Patrick Fitzpatrick, Laszlo Fodor, Borja Gomez, Susanne Greber-Platzer, Romain Guedj, Florian Hey, Lina Jankauskaite, Daniela Kohlfuerst, Ines Mascarenhas, Anna Maria Musolino, Zanda Pučuka, Sofia Reis, Alexis Rybak, Petra Salamon, Matthias Schaffert, Keren Shahar-Nissan, Maria Chiara Supino, Ozlem Teksam, Caner Turan, Roberto Velasco, Ruud G. Nijman, Luigi Titomanlio, the EPISODES Study Group
European Respiratory Journal Feb 2023, 61 (2) 2201172; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.01172-2022

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Respective roles of non-pharmaceutical interventions in bronchiolitis outbreaks: an interrupted time-series analysis based on a multinational surveillance system
Lea Lenglart, Naim Ouldali, Kate Honeyford, Zsolt Bognar, Silvia Bressan, Danilo Buonsenso, Liviana Da Dalt, Tisham De, Ruth Farrugia, Ian K. Maconochie, Henriette A. Moll, Rianne Oostenbrink, Niccolo Parri, Damian Roland, Katy Rose, Esra Akyüz Özkan, François Angoulvant, Camille Aupiais, Clarissa Barber, Michael Barrett, Romain Basmaci, Susana Castanhinha, Antonio Chiaretti, Sheena Durnin, Patrick Fitzpatrick, Laszlo Fodor, Borja Gomez, Susanne Greber-Platzer, Romain Guedj, Florian Hey, Lina Jankauskaite, Daniela Kohlfuerst, Ines Mascarenhas, Anna Maria Musolino, Zanda Pučuka, Sofia Reis, Alexis Rybak, Petra Salamon, Matthias Schaffert, Keren Shahar-Nissan, Maria Chiara Supino, Ozlem Teksam, Caner Turan, Roberto Velasco, Ruud G. Nijman, Luigi Titomanlio, the EPISODES Study Group
European Respiratory Journal Feb 2023, 61 (2) 2201172; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.01172-2022
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