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A comprehensive echocardiographic method for risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Stefano Ghio, Valentina Mercurio, Federico Fortuni, Paul R. Forfia, Henning Gall, Ardeschir Ghofrani, Stephen C. Mathai, Jeremy A. Mazurek, Monica Mukherjee, Manuel Richter, Laura Scelsi, Paul M. Hassoun, Khodr Tello TAPSE in PAH investigators
European Respiratory Journal 2020 56: 2000513; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00513-2020
Stefano Ghio
1Division of Cardiology, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy
9These authors contributed equally as co-first authors
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  • For correspondence: s.ghio@smatteo.pv.it
Valentina Mercurio
2Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
3Dept of Translational Medical Sciences, Federico II University, Naples, Italy
9These authors contributed equally as co-first authors
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Federico Fortuni
1Division of Cardiology, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy
4Dept of Molecular Medicine, Unit of Cardiology, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
9These authors contributed equally as co-first authors
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Paul R. Forfia
5Pulmonary Hypertension, Right Heart Failure and Pulmonary Thromboendarterectomy Program, Temple University Hospital, Philadelphia, PA, USA
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Henning Gall
6University Hospital Giessen und Marburg GmbH, Pulmonary Hypertension Division, Medical Clinic II, Giessen, Germany
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  • ORCID record for Henning Gall
Ardeschir Ghofrani
6University Hospital Giessen und Marburg GmbH, Pulmonary Hypertension Division, Medical Clinic II, Giessen, Germany
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Stephen C. Mathai
2Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Jeremy A. Mazurek
7Dept of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
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Monica Mukherjee
8Division of Cardiology, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
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Manuel Richter
6University Hospital Giessen und Marburg GmbH, Pulmonary Hypertension Division, Medical Clinic II, Giessen, Germany
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Laura Scelsi
1Division of Cardiology, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy
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Paul M. Hassoun
2Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA
10These authors contributed equally as co-last authors
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Khodr Tello
6University Hospital Giessen und Marburg GmbH, Pulmonary Hypertension Division, Medical Clinic II, Giessen, Germany
10These authors contributed equally as co-last authors
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  • FIGURE 1
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    FIGURE 1

    Patient selection. #: patients excluded due to overlap between studies: 37 from Mathai et al. [17] (25 overlapping cases with Forfia et al. [14] and 12 overlapping cases with Mukherjee et al. [19]) and nine from Ghio et al. [15] which overlapped with Ghio et al. [16]; ¶: from Forfia et al. [14]; +: patients excluded due to incomplete echocardiographic data to be classified according to the four groups: 74 with unavailable data on inferior vena cava, 12 with unavailable tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion and three with unavailable tricuspid regurgitation grade. WHO: World Health Organization; PH: pulmonary hypertension; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension.

  • FIGURE 2
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    FIGURE 2

    Spline curve for tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) versus hazard ratio of all-cause mortality. Changes in hazard ratio for all-cause mortality across the baseline TAPSE.

  • FIGURE 3
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    FIGURE 3

    Kaplan–Meier curves for survival according to a) four and b) three echocardiographic-based risk groups in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. The Kaplan–Meier curves show significantly lower 5-year survival rates for high-risk patients (group 4) compared to both intermediate-risk (groups 2 and 3) (43% versus 63%, respectively; p<0.001) and low-risk (group 1) (43% versus 82%, respectively; p<0.001). TAPSE: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; TR: tricuspid regurgitation; IVC: inferior vena cava.

  • FIGURE 4
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    FIGURE 4

    Echocardiographic risk stratification in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension. Three risk categories were identified from four groups representing progressively increasing degrees of right heart dysfunction based upon presence/absence of right ventricular (RV) dysfunction and of systemic venous congestion: a) low risk: preserved tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and nonsignificant tricuspid regurgitation (TR) (group 1); b) intermediate risk: either preserved TAPSE and significant TR (group 2) or impaired TAPSE and nondilated inferior vena cava (IVC) (group 3); and c) high risk: impaired TAPSE and dilated IVC (group 4).

Tables

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  • TABLE 1

    General characteristics of publications included in the analysis

    First author, year [ref.]Retrospective or prospective designIncident/prevalent PAH patients#Follow-upOutcome measurement
    Forfia, 2006 [14]Prospective15/3219.3 monthsAll-cause mortality
    Ghio, 2010 [15]Prospective45/552 monthsAll-cause mortality and lung transplantation
    Mathai, 2011 [17]Prospective6/715.7 monthsAll-cause mortality and lung transplantation
    Ghio, 2016 [16]Retrospective33/4836 monthsAll-cause mortality and lung transplantation
    Mazurek, 2017 [18]Prospective0/70456 daysAll-cause mortality
    Mukherjee, 2017 [19]Prospective17/3895 monthsAll-cause mortality
    Tello, 2018 [20]Retrospective0/29072.5 monthsAll-cause mortality

    Data are presented as n/n or median. PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension. #: overlapping cases were not considered.

    • TABLE 2

      Characteristic of the overall population and of the four pathophysiologically defined echocardiographic risk groups

      Overall populationGroup 1Group 2Group 3Group 4p-value
      Subjects517129155101132
      Age years52±1552±1453±1451±1751±170.598
      Female316 (64.8)67 (57)102 (70)68 (68)79 (64)0.140
      Heart rate bpm78±1474±1376±1480±1580±130.004
      SBP mmHg123±19124±17121±15123±26125±180.832
      DBP mmHg72±1174±1168±971±1174±130.109
      PAH aetiology
       Idiopathic285 (64.8)75 (65)85 (59)50 (70)75 (68)0.057
       Congenital heart disease37 (8.4)7 (6)12 (8)10 (14)8 (7)
       Portal hypertension22 (5.0)9 (8)10 (7)1 (1)2 (2)
       HIV12 (2.7)3 (3)7 (5)1 (1)1 (1)
       PVOD11 (2.5)2 (2)4 (3)3 (4)2 (2)
       Scleroderma39 (8.9)5 (4)18 (13)5 (7)11 (10)
       Connective tissue disease23 (5.2)10 (9)4 (3)1 (2)8 (7)
       Other11 (2.5)4 (4)4 (3)0 (0)3 (3)
      Prevalent patients421 (81.4)118 (92)137 (88)75 (74)91 (69)<0.001
      WHO FC III-IV339 (66.1)63 (49)103 (67)66 (66)107 (81)<0.001
      6MWD m358±131405±107353±128351±137317±1440.007
      Vasoactive therapy
       PDE5i287 (58.2)74 (58)91 (61)51 (56)71(57)0.896
       sGC10 (2.7)3 (4)2 (2)5 (5)0 (0)0.121
       ERA240 (48.7)64 (50)83 (55)36 (40)47 (46)0.105
       Prostanoids122 (23.6)31 (24)41 (27)20 (20)30 (23)0.670
      Monotherapy160 (32.4)45 (35)52 (34)32 (35)31 (25)0.246
      Combination therapy215 (43.5)55 (43)71 (47)34 (37)55 (44)0.531
      Centre location
       Europe375 (72.7)86 (67)100 (64)92 (91)98 (74)<0.001
       USA141 (27.3)43 (33)55 (36)9 (9)34 (26)
      Echocardiographic data
       RVEDD mm38 (30–45)32 (5–40)37 (28–47)38 (34–46)42 (34–49)<0.001
       RVEDA cm229±925±728±1028±933±8<0.001
       FAC %27.1±12.230±1030±1226±1023±140.001
       TAPSE mm18±522±422±414±213±3<0.001
       TR moderate to severe333 (65.0)0 (0)155 (100)66 (67)112 (87)<0.001
       Dilated IVC196 (44.0)25 (26)39 (34)0 (0)132 (100)<0.001
       PASP mmHg68±2650±2271±2873±2377±21<0.001
       AcT ms78±2288±2381±2071±1969±18<0.001
       RA area# cm221 (17–26)19 (15–23)20 (17–24)20 (16–25)29 (24–36)<0.001
       Pericardial effusion¶ %32 (27.6)7 (35)9 (24)4 (25)12 (29)0.822
       LVEDV mL65 (50–81)80 (63–95)70 (62–90)64 (47–80)54 (43–67)<0.001
       LVEF %68±1269±1268±1168±1365±120.016
      Year of study publication
       2006–2011 %71 (13.7)18 (14)19 (12)9 (9)25 (19)0.152
       2016–2018 %446 (86.3)111 (86)136 (88)92 (91)107 (81)
      Patient enrolment
       Prospective %187 (36.2)50 (39)60 (39)18 (18)59 (45)<0.001
       Retrospective %330 (63.8)79 (61)95 (61)83 (82)73 (55)

      Data are presented as n, mean±sd, n (%) or median (interquartile range), unless otherwise stated. All percentages are calculated based on data availability for each parameter. SBP: systolic blood pressure; DBP: diastolic blood pressure; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; PVOD: pulmonary veno-occlusive disease; WHO FC: World Health Organization functional class; 6MWD: 6-min walk distance; PDE5i: phosphodiesterase-5 inhibitor; sGC: soluble guanylate cyclase stimulator; ERA: endothelin receptor antagonist; RVEDD: right ventricular end-diastolic diameter; RVEDA: right ventricular end-diastolic area; FAC: fractional area change; TAPSE: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; TR: tricuspid regurgitation; IVC: inferior vena cava; PASP: pulmonary arterial systolic pressure; AcT: acceleration time; RA: right atrial; LVEDV: left ventricular end-diastolic volume; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction. #: data available for 314 patients; ¶: data available for 116 patients.

      • TABLE 3

        Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis

        Univariate analysis HR (95% CI)p-valueMultivariate analysis HR (95% CI)p-value
        Age1.02 (1.01–1.03)<0.0011.02 (1.01–1.03)<0.001
        Female sex0.71 (0.53–0.94)0.0170.69 (0.51–0.94)0.019
        Heart rate1.02 (1.01–1.03)0.002
        PVOD#5.00 (2.50–10.00)<0.001
        Scleroderma PAH#1.50 (0.90–2.50)0.121
        Connective tissue disease PAH#2.80 (1.49–5.26)0.001
        Incident PAH¶1.67 (1.16–2.41)0.0061.06 (0.61–1.84)0.831
        Combination therapy+1.16 (0.88–1.54)0.293
        Study published in 2016–18§0.55 (0.36–0.83)0.0050.53 (0.27–1.03)0.060
        Data from retrospective studyƒ0.90 (0.66–1.21)0.484
        WHO FC III–IV2.96 (2.02–4.34)<0.0012.46 (1.61–3.75)<0.001
        6MWD per 10-m increase0.96 (0.94–0.98)<0.001
        Centre location in USA0.83 (0.60–1.18)0.301
        TAPSE##0.92 (0.89–0.94)<0.001
        TAPSE ≤17 mm2.37 (1.78–3.14)<0.001
        RVEDD1.01 (1.00–1.02)0.076
        RVEDA1.05 (1.02–1.07)<0.001
        FAC0.97 (0.95–0.99)0.008
        AcT0.98 (0.97–0.99)<0.001
        PASP1.01 (1.00–1.01)0.006
        RA area1.04 (1.02–1.06)<0.001
        Pericardial effusion1.33 (0.69–2.59)0.396
        Dilated IVC2.12 (1.57–2.86)<0.001
        TR moderate to severe2.00 (1.43–2.79)<0.001
        LVEDV0.99 (0.97–0.99)0.005
        LVEF0.98 (0.97–0.99)0.0020.99 (0.98–1.01)0.230
        Intermediate¶¶ versus low risk++2.15 (1.38–3.37)0.0012.51 (1.46–4.29)0.001
        High§§ versus low risk++4.54 (2.88–7.15)<0.0014.37 (2.52–7.59)<0.001

        HR: hazard ratio; PVOD: pulmonary veno-occlusive disease; PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; WHO FC: World Health Organization functional class; 6MWD: 6-min walk distance; TAPSE: tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion; RVEDD: right ventricular end-diastolic diameter; RVEDA: right ventricular end-diastolic area; FAC: fractional area change; AcT: acceleration time; PASP: pulmonary arterial systolic pressure; RA: right atrial; ICV: inferior vena cava; TR: tricuspid regurgitation; LVEDV: left ventricular end-diastolic volume; LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction. #: versus idiopathic PAH; ¶: versus prevalent PAH; +: versus monotherapy or no specific therapy; §: versus 2006–2011; ƒ: versus prospective study; ##: as a continuous variable; ¶¶: groups 2 and 3; ++: group 1; §§: group 4.

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        A comprehensive echocardiographic method for risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension
        Stefano Ghio, Valentina Mercurio, Federico Fortuni, Paul R. Forfia, Henning Gall, Ardeschir Ghofrani, Stephen C. Mathai, Jeremy A. Mazurek, Monica Mukherjee, Manuel Richter, Laura Scelsi, Paul M. Hassoun, Khodr Tello
        European Respiratory Journal Sep 2020, 56 (3) 2000513; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00513-2020

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        A comprehensive echocardiographic method for risk stratification in pulmonary arterial hypertension
        Stefano Ghio, Valentina Mercurio, Federico Fortuni, Paul R. Forfia, Henning Gall, Ardeschir Ghofrani, Stephen C. Mathai, Jeremy A. Mazurek, Monica Mukherjee, Manuel Richter, Laura Scelsi, Paul M. Hassoun, Khodr Tello
        European Respiratory Journal Sep 2020, 56 (3) 2000513; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00513-2020
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