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Risk assessment, prognosis and guideline implementation in pulmonary arterial hypertension

Athénaïs Boucly, Jason Weatherald, Laurent Savale, Xavier Jaïs, Vincent Cottin, Grégoire Prevot, François Picard, Pascal de Groote, Mitja Jevnikar, Emmanuel Bergot, Ari Chaouat, Céline Chabanne, Arnaud Bourdin, Florence Parent, David Montani, Gérald Simonneau, Marc Humbert, Olivier Sitbon
European Respiratory Journal 2017 50: 1700889; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00889-2017
Athénaïs Boucly
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Jason Weatherald
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
4Department of Medicine, Division of Respirology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada
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Laurent Savale
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Xavier Jaïs
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Vincent Cottin
5Université Lyon-1, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Centre de Référence des Maladies Pulmonaires Rares, Centre de Compétences de l'Hypertension Pulmonaire, Hôpital Louis Pradel, Lyon, France
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Grégoire Prevot
6Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Larrey, Toulouse, France
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François Picard
7Service de Cardiologie, Hôpital Haut-Lévêque, Pessac, France
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Pascal de Groote
8Hôpital Cardiologique de Lille, Centre de Compétences de l'Hypertension Pulmonaire, Lille, France
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Mitja Jevnikar
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Emmanuel Bergot
9Hôpital Côte de Nacre, Centre de Compétences Basse Normandie de l'Hypertension Pulmonaire, Université de Caen-Basse Normandie, Caen, France
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Ari Chaouat
10CHU Nancy, Pôle des Spécialités Médicales, Département de Pneumologie, Vandoeuvre-lès-Nancy, France
11Université de Lorraine, INGRES, EA 7298, Vandoeuvre-lès-Nancy, France
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Céline Chabanne
12CHU de Rennes, Service de Cardiologie et Maladies Vasculaires, INSERM U1099, Rennes, France
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Arnaud Bourdin
13Service de Pneumologie, Université de Montpellier; INSERM U1046, UMR 9214, Hôpital Arnaud de Villeneuve, Montpellier, France
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Florence Parent
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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David Montani
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Gérald Simonneau
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Marc Humbert
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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Olivier Sitbon
1Université Paris-Sud, Faculté de Médecine, Université Paris-Saclay, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
2AP-HP, Service de Pneumologie, Hôpital Bicêtre, Le Kremlin-Bicêtre, France
3INSERM UMR_S 999, Hôpital Marie Lannelongue, Le Plessis Robinson, France
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  • For correspondence: olivier.sitbon@bct.aphp.fr
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  • FIGURE 1
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    FIGURE 1

    Patient selection flow chart. PAH: pulmonary arterial hypertension; 6MWD: 6-min walking distance; WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; FC: functional class; BNP: brain natriuretic peptide; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide.

  • FIGURE 2
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    FIGURE 2

    Number of low-risk criteria (World Health Organization/New York Heart Association functional class I–II; 6-min walking distance >440 m; right atrial pressure <8 mmHg; cardiac index ≥2.5 L·min−1·m−2) present at baseline and first re-evaluation within the first year after diagnosis.

  • FIGURE 3
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    FIGURE 3

    Transplant-free survival according to the number of low-risk criteria (World Health Organization/New York Heart Association functional class I–II I; 6-min walking distance >440 m; right atrial pressure <8 mmHg; cardiac index ≥2.5 L·min−1·m−2) present at a) time of pulmonary arterial hypertension diagnosis; b) first re-evaluation within the first year after diagnosis.

  • FIGURE 4
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    FIGURE 4

    Transplant-free survival according to the number of noninvasive low-risk criteria (World Health Organization/New York Heart Association functional class I–II; 6-min walking distance >440 m; brain natriuretic peptide <50 ng·L−1 or N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide <300 ng·mL−1) present at first re-evaluation (n=603).

Tables

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  • Supplementary Materials
  • TABLE 1

    Demographics and baseline characteristics of overall and study populations of patients with newly diagnosed idiopathic, heritable and drug-induced pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH)

    Overall populationStudy population
    Subjects15911017
    Female/male924 (58)/667 (42)598 (59)/419 (41)
    Age years60±1757±17
    BMI kg·m−227.8±7.027.7±6.4
    BMI >30 kg·m−2474 (30)291 (29)
    PAH diagnosis
     Idiopathic1228 (77)762 (75)
     Heritable109 (7)94 (9)
     Drug-induced254 (16)161 (16)
    Acute vasodilator responder139 (8.7)97 (9.5)
    WHO/NYHA functional class
     I–II441 (28)261 (26)
     III925 (58)624 (61)
     IV225 (14)132 (13)
    6-min walking distance m307±142311±145
    Haemodynamics
     RAP mmHg8.8±5.28.6±5.0
     mPAP mmHg48±1350±13
     PAWP mmHg10±49±4
     Cardiac output L·min−14.4±1.54.4±1.4
     Cardiac index L·min−1·m−22.4±0.82.4±0.7
     PVR Wood units9.9±5.610.5±5.9
     Mean blood pressure mmHg96±1895±17
     Heart rate beats·min-180±1680±15
     SvO2 %63±1063±9#

    Data are presented as n, n (%) or mean±sd. BMI: body mass index; WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; RAP: right atrial pressure; mPAP: mean pulmonary artery pressure; PAWP: pulmonary artery wedge pressure; PVR: pulmonary vascular resistance; SvO2: mixed venous oxygen saturation. #: n=606.

    • TABLE 2

      Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis of low-risk criteria assessed at baseline and first re-evaluation

      Univariable analysisMultivariable analysis
      Hazard ratio (95% CI)p-valueHazard ratio (95% CI)p-value
      At baseline
       WHO/NYHA FC I–II0.59 (0.43–0.82)0.001
       6-min walking distance >440 m0.29 (0.18–0.46)<0.0010.31 (0.19–0.50)<0.001
       Right atrial pressure <8 mmHg0.71 (0.55–0.92)0.009
       Cardiac index ≥2.5 L·min−1·m−20.76 (0.59–0.97)0.029
      At first re-evaluation
       WHO/NYHA FC I–II0.30 (0.23–0.39)<0.0010.44 (0.34–0.58)<0.001
       6-min walking distance >440 m0.24 (0.17–0.34)<0.0010.37 (0.26–0.55)<0.001
       Right atrial pressure <8 mmHg0.51 (0.40–0.64)<0.0010.74 (0.57–0.94)0.016
       Cardiac index ≥2.5 L·min−1·m−20.51 (0.40–0.65)<0.0010.64 (0.50–0.82)<0.001

      WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; FC: functional class.

      • TABLE 3

        Change in functional class (FC), exercise capacity and haemodynamics between baseline and first re-evaluation

        BaselineFirst re-evaluation#p-value
        WHO/NYHA FC
         I–II261 (26)595 (59)<0.001
         III624 (61)349 (34)
         IV132 (13)73 (7)
        6-min walking distance m311±145354±145<0.001
        Haemodymamics
         RAP mmHg8.6±5.07.5±4.8<0.001
         mPAP mmHg50±1344±13<0.001
         Cardiac output L·min−14.4±1.45.3±1.6<0.001
         Cardiac index L·min−1·m−22.4±0.72.9±0.8<0.001
         PVR Wood units10.5±5.97.1±4.6<0.001
         SvO2 %63±1067±8<0.001

        Data are presented as n (%) or mean±sd, unless otherwise stated. n=1017. WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; RAP: right atrial pressure; mPAP: mean pulmonary artery pressure; PVR: pulmonary vascular resistance; SvO2: mixed venous oxygen saturation. #: 5.6±3.4 months after baseline.

        • TABLE 4

          Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis of low-risk criteria assessed at first re-evaluation in the subset of patients with available brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) measurements

          Univariable analysisMultivariable analysis
          Hazard ratio (95% CI)p-valueHazard ratio (95% CI)p-value
          WHO/NYHA FC I–II0.28 (0.19–0.42)<0.0010.47 (0.32–0.71)<0.001
          6-min walking distance >440 m0.17 (0.09–0.31)<0.0010.32 (0.17–0.60)<0.001
          BNP <50 ng·L−1 or
          NT-proBNP <300 ng·mL−1
          0.21 (0.13–0.34)<0.0010.31 (0.19–0.52)<0.001
          Right atrial pressure <8 mmHg0.45 (0.31–0.65)<0.001
          Cardiac index ≥2.5 L·min−1·m−20.44 (0.30–0.65)<0.001

          WHO: World Health Organization; NYHA: New York Heart Association; FC: functional class.

          Supplementary Materials

          • Figures
          • Tables
          • Supplementary Material

            Please note: supplementary material is not edited by the Editorial Office, and is uploaded as it has been supplied by the author.

            Supplementary tables. ERJ-00889-2017_Supplement

            Supplementary figure S1: Survival of the overall cohort (n=1591). ERJ-00889-2017_Figure_S1

            Supplementary figure S2: Transplant-free survival according to the change in number of low-risk criteria between baseline and first follow-up. Abbreviation: F-up: follow-up. ERJ-00889-2017_Figure_S2

            Supplementary figure S3: Transplant-free survival in patients with zero low-risk criteria at follow-up according to the number of high-risk criteria (WHO/NYHA functional class IV, 6-minute walk distance #60;165 m, right atrial pressure <14 mmHg, cardiac index #60;2.0 L/min/m2). ERJ-00889-2017_Figure_S3

            Supplementary figure S4: Transplant-free survival according to the number of low-risk criteria (WHO/NYHA FC I-II; 6MWD <440 m; right atrial pressure #60;8 mmHg; cardiac index #8805;2.5 L/min/m2, SvO2 <65%) present at first re-evaluation (n=606). Abbreviations: WHO/NYHA FC: World Health Organization/New York Heart Association functional class; 6MWD: 6-minute walk distance; SvO2: mixed venous oxygen saturation. ERJ-00889-2017_Figure_S4

          • Supplementary Material

            E. Bergot ERJ-00889-2017_Bergot

            A. Boucly ERJ-00889-2017_Boucly

            A. Bourdin ERJ-00889-2017_Bourdin

            A. Chaouat ERJ-00889-2017_Chaouat

            V. Cottin ERJ-00889-2017_Cottin

            P. de Groote ERJ-00889-2017_De_Groote

            M. Humbert ERJ-00889-2017_Humbert

            X. Jaïs ERJ-00889-2017_Jais

            D. Montani ERJ-00889-2017_Montani

            F. Parent ERJ-00889-2017_Parent

            F. Picard ERJ-00889-2017_Picard

            G. Prevot ERJ-00889-2017_Prevot

            L. Savale ERJ-00889-2017_Savale

            G. Simonneau ERJ-00889-2017_Simonneau

            O. Sitbon ERJ-00889-2017_Sitbon

            J. Weatherald ERJ-00889-2017_Weatherald

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          Risk assessment, prognosis and guideline implementation in pulmonary arterial hypertension
          Athénaïs Boucly, Jason Weatherald, Laurent Savale, Xavier Jaïs, Vincent Cottin, Grégoire Prevot, François Picard, Pascal de Groote, Mitja Jevnikar, Emmanuel Bergot, Ari Chaouat, Céline Chabanne, Arnaud Bourdin, Florence Parent, David Montani, Gérald Simonneau, Marc Humbert, Olivier Sitbon
          European Respiratory Journal Aug 2017, 50 (2) 1700889; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00889-2017

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          Risk assessment, prognosis and guideline implementation in pulmonary arterial hypertension
          Athénaïs Boucly, Jason Weatherald, Laurent Savale, Xavier Jaïs, Vincent Cottin, Grégoire Prevot, François Picard, Pascal de Groote, Mitja Jevnikar, Emmanuel Bergot, Ari Chaouat, Céline Chabanne, Arnaud Bourdin, Florence Parent, David Montani, Gérald Simonneau, Marc Humbert, Olivier Sitbon
          European Respiratory Journal Aug 2017, 50 (2) 1700889; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00889-2017
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