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Risk stratification of normotensive pulmonary embolism: prognostic impact of copeptin

Kristian Hellenkamp, Johanna Schwung, Heidi Rossmann, Anja Kaeberich, Rolf Wachter, Gerd Hasenfuß, Stavros Konstantinides, Mareike Lankeit
European Respiratory Journal 2015 46: 1701-1710; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00857-2015
Kristian Hellenkamp
Clinic of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Centre, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
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Johanna Schwung
Clinic of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Centre, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany
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Heidi Rossmann
Institute of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine, University Medical Centre Mainz, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
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Anja Kaeberich
Centre for Thrombosis and Hemostasis (CTH), University Medical Centre Mainz, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
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Rolf Wachter
Clinic of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Centre, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Göttingen, GermanyPartner site Göttingen, German Cardiovascular Research Centre (DZHK), Göttingen, Germany
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Gerd Hasenfuß
Clinic of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Centre, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Göttingen, GermanyPartner site Göttingen, German Cardiovascular Research Centre (DZHK), Göttingen, Germany
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Stavros Konstantinides
Centre for Thrombosis and Hemostasis (CTH), University Medical Centre Mainz, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
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Mareike Lankeit
Clinic of Cardiology and Pneumology, Heart Centre, Georg-August University of Göttingen, Göttingen, GermanyCentre for Thrombosis and Hemostasis (CTH), University Medical Centre Mainz, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany
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  • For correspondence: mlankeit@uni-mainz.de
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  • FIGURE 1
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    FIGURE 1

    Flow chart of patient enrolment and exclusion. Definitions are provided in the material and methods section of the online supplementary material. PE: pulmonary embolism; PERGO: Pulmonary Embolism Registry of Göttingen; LV: left ventricular; GFR: glomerular filtration rate.

  • FIGURE 2
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    FIGURE 2

    Copeptin plasma levels on admission and after 24 h in a subgroup of 56 patients.

  • FIGURE 3
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    FIGURE 3

    Receiver operating characteristic curve for copeptin, high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) with regard to an adverse 30-day outcome. AUC: area under the curve.

  • FIGURE 4
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    FIGURE 4

    Risk assessment strategies of normotensive patients with pulmonary embolism. a) Risk assessment with a new biomarker-based strategy based on N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) and copeptin. b) Risk assessment as proposed by the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline. Number (%) of patients with an adverse 30-day outcome are shown for each step. HsTnT levels ≥14 pg·mL−1 and NT-proBNP levels ≥600 pg·mL−1 were defined as positive. #: in one patient with elevated hsTnT (109.8 pg·mL−1) levels, NT-proBNP plasma concentrations could not be measured on admission. Thus, stratification to risk classes using the biomarker-based strategy was not possible and the patient was excluded. Of note, in four patients neither multidetector computed tomography nor an echocardiographic examination for assessment of right ventricular function was performed; three of them were classified as intermediate–low risk and one patient as low risk using the ESC 2014 algorithm shown in b). Definitions are provided in the material and methods section of the online supplementary material. PE: pulmonary embolism; sPESI: simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index; RV: right ventricular.

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  • TABLE 1

    Medical history and baseline characteristics of the study patients

    All study patientsCopeptin <14 pmol·L−1Copeptin ≥14 pmol·L−1p-value
    Subjects n268134134
    Male128 (47.8)58 (43.3)70 (52.2)0.178
    Age years70.5 (53–77)62.5 (46–74)72.5 (64–79)<0.001
    BMI kg·m−227.8 (24.8–31.2)28.0 (25.0–32.1)27.6 (24.5–30.6)0.300
    Risk factors for VTE
     History of VTE85/267 (31.8)50/133 (37.6)35 (26.1)0.049
     Previous trauma/surgery#55 (20.5)28 (20.9)27 (20.1)1.000
     Travel/immobilisation#67 (25.0)31 (23.1)36 (26.9)0.573
     Pregnancy/post-partum¶1 (0.4)1 (0.7)0 (0)1.000
     Unprovoked PE+160 (59.7)78 (58.2)82 (61.2)0.709
    Comorbidities
     Malignant tumour§37 (13.8)15 (11.2)22 (16.4)0.288
     Chronic cardiopulmonary disease93 (34.7)35 (26.1)58 (43.3)0.005
     Diabetes mellitus49 (18.3)15 (11.2)34 (25.4)0.004
     Anaemia91 (34.0)41 (30.6)50 (37.3)0.302
     Renal insufficiency73 (27.2)23 (17.2)50 (37.3)<0.001
    Symptoms and clinical status on admission
     Symptom onset <24 h130 (48.5)54 (40.3)76 (56.7)0.010
     Chest pain155/267 (58.1)86/133 (64.7)69 (51.5)0.035
     Dyspnoea233/267 (87.3)116/133 (87.2)117 (87.3)1.000
     Syncope32 (11.9)7 (5.2)25 (18.7)0.001
     Systolic blood pressure mmHg130 (120–150)130 (120–150)130 (120–141)0.017
     Mild hypotension19/262 (7.3)6/130 (4.6)13/132 (9.8)0.152
     Heart rate bpm88 (74.25–105)84 (75.5–97.5)91 (73.5–110.0)0.042
     Tachycardia80/264 (30.3)31/132 (23.5)49/132 (37.1)0.022
     Hypoxia62/224 (27.7)21/107 (19.6)41/117 (35.0)0.011
     RV dysfunction on echocardiography77/157 (49.0)29/69 (42.0)48/88 (54.5)0.148
     RV dysfunction on MDCT111/255 (43.5)45/130 (34.6)66/125 (52.8)0.004
    Laboratory biomarkers
     hsTnT pg·mL−124.6 (8.6–57.9)11.2 (4.9–43.8)36.1 (15.1–73.7)<0.001
     hsTnT ≥14 pg·mL−1166/266 (62.4)61/132 (46.2)105/134 (78.4)<0.001
     NT-proBNP pg·mL−1687 (122–2564)309 (74–1640)1238 (290–3775)<0.001
     NT-proBNP ≥600 pg·mL−1138/267 (51.7)55/134 (41.0)83/133 (62.4)0.001
    Risk assessment models
     ESC 2014 algorithm
      Low47 (17.5)41 (30.6)6 (4.5)<0.001
      Intermediate–low135 (50.4)63 (47.0)72 (53.7)0.328
      Intermediate–high86 (32.1)30 (22.4)56 (41.8)0.001
     Bova scoreƒ
      Low130 (48.7)84 (62.7)46 (34.6)<0.001
      Intermediate–low93 (34.8)41 (30.6)52 (39.1)0.159
      Intermediate–high44 (16.5)9 (6.7)35 (26.3)<0.001
    • Data are presented as n, n (%), median (interquartile range) or n/N (%), unless otherwise stated. Risk factors, comorbidities, symptoms, haemodynamics, laboratory values and PE severity classification in all study patients and according to the median copeptin level are presented. BMI: body mass index; VTE: venous thromboembolism; PE: pulmonary embolism; bpm: beats per minute; RV: right ventricular; MDCT: multidetector computed tomography; hsTnT: high-sensitivity troponin T; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; ESC: European Society of Cardiology. #: within the past 4 weeks; ¶: 6 weeks after delivery; +: defined as absence of a temporary or reversible risk factor such as surgery, trauma, immobilisation, travel, contraception/hormone replacement therapy or pregnancy; §: defined as active or under treatment within the past 6 months; ƒ: one patient could not be classified using the Bova score due to missing data. Definitions are provided in the material and methods section of the online supplementary material.

  • TABLE 2

    Prognostic performances of laboratory biomarkers and risk assessment models with regard to an adverse 30-day outcome

    Sensitivity (95% CI)Specificity (95% CI)PPV (95% CI)NPV (95% CI)LR+ (95% CI)LR− (95% CI)
    Laboratory biomarker
     hsTnT ≥14 pg·mL−11.00 (0.80–1.00)0.40 (0.34–0.46)0.09 (0.06–0.14)1.00 (0.96–1.00)1.67 (1.50–1.84)
     NT-proBNP ≥600 pg·mL−11.00 (0.80–1.00)0.51 (0.45–0.57)0.11 (0.07–0.17)1.00 (0.97–1.00)1.96 (1.80–2.32)
     Copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−10.73 (0.48–0.89)0.66 (0.60–0.72)0.11 (0.07–0.19)0.98 (0.94–0.99)2.18 (1.54–3.10)0.40 (0.17–0.93)
     Copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−1 and   hsTnT ≥14 pg·mL−1 and   NT-proBNP ≥600 pg·mL−10.73 (0.48–0.89)0.83 (0.77–0.87)0.20 (0.12–0.32)0.98 (0.95–0.99)4.25 (2.80–6.30)0.32 (0.14–0.75)
    Risk assessment models
     ESC 2014 algorithm   (intermediate–high risk   versus low risk/intermediate–low risk)0.67 (0.42–0.85)0.70 (0.64–0.75)0.12 (0.06–0.20)0.97 (0.94–0.99)2.22 (1.48–3.32)0.48 (0.23–0.98)
     Bova score (intermediate–high risk   versus low risk/intermediate–low risk)0.33 (0.15–0.58)0.85 (0.80–0.88)0.11 (0.05–0.24)0.96 (0.92–0.98)2.15 (1.00–4,66)0.79 (0.55–1.13)
    • Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values and positive and negative likelihood ratios of dichotomised/dichotomous biomarkers, risk assessment models and combination of biomarkers with regard to an adverse 30-day outcome. PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; LR+/−: positive/negative likelihood ratio; hsTnT: high-sensitivity troponin T; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; ESC: European Society of Cardiology.

  • TABLE 3

    Predictors of an adverse 30-day outcome

    OR (95% CI)p-value
    Comorbidities
     Malignant tumour1.61 (0.43–6.00)0.478
     Chronic cardiopulmonary disease1.70 (0.60–4.84)0.321
     Diabetes mellitus3.26 (1.10–9.62)0.033
     Renal insufficiency2.48 (0.87–7.10)0.091
    Symptoms and clinical status on admission
     Syncope1.93 (0.51–7.25)0.330
     Hypoxia3.85 (1.28–11.60)0.017
     Tachycardia3.76 (1.29–10.95)0.015
     Mild hypotension2.08 (0.43–9.99)0.360
     RV dysfunction on echocardiography or MDCT2.91 (0.90–9.38)0.074
    Laboratory biomarkers
     hsTnT ≥14 pg·mL−1OR not calculable
     NT-proBNP ≥600 pg·mL−1OR not calculable
     Copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−15.44 (1.68–17.58)0.005
     Copeptin ≥24 pmol·L−1 and hsTnT ≥14 pg·mL−1 and NT-proBNP ≥600 pg·mL−113.00 (3.91–42.72)<0.001
    Risk assessment models
     ESC 2014 algorithm (intermediate–high risk versus low risk/intermediate–low risk)4.66 (1.54–14.09)0.006
     Bova score (intermediate–high risk versus low risk/intermediate–low risk)2.73 (0.89–8.42)0.080
    • Definitions are provided in the material and methods section of the online supplementary material. RV: right ventricular; MDCT: multidetector computed tomography; hsTnT: high-sensitivity troponin T; NT-proBNP: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide; ESC: European Society of Cardiology.

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Risk stratification of normotensive pulmonary embolism: prognostic impact of copeptin
Kristian Hellenkamp, Johanna Schwung, Heidi Rossmann, Anja Kaeberich, Rolf Wachter, Gerd Hasenfuß, Stavros Konstantinides, Mareike Lankeit
European Respiratory Journal Dec 2015, 46 (6) 1701-1710; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00857-2015

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Risk stratification of normotensive pulmonary embolism: prognostic impact of copeptin
Kristian Hellenkamp, Johanna Schwung, Heidi Rossmann, Anja Kaeberich, Rolf Wachter, Gerd Hasenfuß, Stavros Konstantinides, Mareike Lankeit
European Respiratory Journal Dec 2015, 46 (6) 1701-1710; DOI: 10.1183/13993003.00857-2015
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