Skip to main content

Main menu

  • Home
  • Current issue
  • ERJ Early View
  • Past issues
  • ERS Guidelines
  • Authors/reviewers
    • Instructions for authors
    • Submit a manuscript
    • Open access
    • Peer reviewer login
  • Alerts
  • Subscriptions
  • ERS Publications
    • European Respiratory Journal
    • ERJ Open Research
    • European Respiratory Review
    • Breathe
    • ERS Books
    • ERS publications home

User menu

  • Log in
  • Subscribe
  • Contact Us
  • My Cart

Search

  • Advanced search
  • ERS Publications
    • European Respiratory Journal
    • ERJ Open Research
    • European Respiratory Review
    • Breathe
    • ERS Books
    • ERS publications home

Login

European Respiratory Society

Advanced Search

  • Home
  • Current issue
  • ERJ Early View
  • Past issues
  • ERS Guidelines
  • Authors/reviewers
    • Instructions for authors
    • Submit a manuscript
    • Open access
    • Peer reviewer login
  • Alerts
  • Subscriptions

Impact of climate change on ozone induced mortality in Europe

Bertil Forsberg, Hans Orru, Christofer Åström, Camilla Andersson, Kristie Ebi, Joakim Langner
European Respiratory Journal 2011 38: 3440; DOI:
Bertil Forsberg
1Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea Univesity, Umea, Sweden
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Hans Orru
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Christofer Åström
1Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umea Univesity, Umea, Sweden
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Camilla Andersson
3Air Quality Research Unit, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Nörrköping, Sweden
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Kristie Ebi
4LLC, ClimAdapt, Los Altos, United States
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
Joakim Langner
3Air Quality Research Unit, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Nörrköping, Sweden
  • Find this author on Google Scholar
  • Find this author on PubMed
  • Search for this author on this site
  • Article
  • Info & Metrics
Loading

Abstract

Background: Ozone is a highly oxidative pollutant, associated with respiratory morbidity and mortality. All else being equal, ground-level ozone will increase as temperatures increase with climate change.

Aim: As a part of the Climate-TRAP project we used emission scenarios, models and epidemiological data to assess ozone-related health impacts under a changing climate.

Methods: European ozone concentrations were modelled at a grid size of 50x50 km using MATCH-RCA3. Projections from two climate models, ECHAM4 and HADLEY, were used, assuming greenhouse gas emission scenarios A2 and A1B. Four periods were compared: the baseline period was defined as 1961–1990, the current situation as 1990–2009, nearer future as 2021–2050 and further future as 2041–2060. The impact on mortality (short-term effect) was calculated for exposures above a daily maximum 8-hour concentrations of 70 μgm-3. We use a European-wide exposure-response function with country-specific baseline mortality.

Results: Comparing the current situation with the baseline period, the largest increase in ozone-associated mortality due to climate change (∼4%) occurred in Belgium, Ireland, Netherlands and UK. Comparing the baseline period and the further future, the increase is projected to be biggest in Belgium, France, Spain and Portugal (10–14%) and the effect will be stronger for the A2 scenario. However, in Nordic and Baltic countries there will be a decrease in ozone-related mortality of the same magnitude.

Discussion: The current study suggests that projected effects of climate change on ozone levels could differentially influence mortality and morbidity across Europe.

  • © 2011 ERS
Previous
Back to top
Vol 38 Issue Suppl 55 Table of Contents
  • Table of Contents
  • Index by author
Email

Thank you for your interest in spreading the word on European Respiratory Society .

NOTE: We only request your email address so that the person you are recommending the page to knows that you wanted them to see it, and that it is not junk mail. We do not capture any email address.

Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas.
Impact of climate change on ozone induced mortality in Europe
(Your Name) has sent you a message from European Respiratory Society
(Your Name) thought you would like to see the European Respiratory Society web site.
CAPTCHA
This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions.
Citation Tools
Impact of climate change on ozone induced mortality in Europe
Bertil Forsberg, Hans Orru, Christofer Åström, Camilla Andersson, Kristie Ebi, Joakim Langner
European Respiratory Journal Sep 2011, 38 (Suppl 55) 3440;

Citation Manager Formats

  • BibTeX
  • Bookends
  • EasyBib
  • EndNote (tagged)
  • EndNote 8 (xml)
  • Medlars
  • Mendeley
  • Papers
  • RefWorks Tagged
  • Ref Manager
  • RIS
  • Zotero

Share
Impact of climate change on ozone induced mortality in Europe
Bertil Forsberg, Hans Orru, Christofer Åström, Camilla Andersson, Kristie Ebi, Joakim Langner
European Respiratory Journal Sep 2011, 38 (Suppl 55) 3440;
del.icio.us logo Digg logo Reddit logo Technorati logo Twitter logo CiteULike logo Connotea logo Facebook logo Google logo Mendeley logo

Jump To

  • Article
  • Info & Metrics
  • Tweet Widget
  • Facebook Like
  • Google Plus One

More in this TOC Section

  • Antioxidant supplementation attenuates changes in innate immunity associated with diesel exhaust (DE) in the lung: A controlled crossover exposure study
  • Outdoor exposure to formaldehyde (CH2O) is associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for respiratory diseases in children
  • Altered haemodynamic response to norepinephrine following diesel exhaust inhalation
Show more 384. Outdoor air pollution studies

Related Articles

Navigate

  • Home
  • Current issue
  • Archive

About the ERJ

  • Journal information
  • Editorial board
  • Press
  • Permissions and reprints
  • Advertising

The European Respiratory Society

  • Society home
  • myERS
  • Privacy policy
  • Accessibility

ERS publications

  • European Respiratory Journal
  • ERJ Open Research
  • European Respiratory Review
  • Breathe
  • ERS books online
  • ERS Bookshop

Help

  • Feedback

For authors

  • Instructions for authors
  • Publication ethics and malpractice
  • Submit a manuscript

For readers

  • Alerts
  • Subjects
  • Podcasts
  • RSS

Subscriptions

  • Accessing the ERS publications

Contact us

European Respiratory Society
442 Glossop Road
Sheffield S10 2PX
United Kingdom
Tel: +44 114 2672860
Email: journals@ersnet.org

ISSN

Print ISSN:  0903-1936
Online ISSN: 1399-3003

Copyright © 2023 by the European Respiratory Society