TABLE 3

Adjusted hazard ratios of explanatory variables associated with death, as shown in multivariate Cox regression models (censored at 30 days)

Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)p-value
Model 1#
 Age per 20 years1.13 (0.95–1.36)0.170
 Male sex1.38 (1.00–1.92)0.053
 H1N1pdm091.35 (0.90–2.02)0.142
 Bacterial superinfection2.18 (1.52–3.11)<0.001
 NAI treatment0.28 (0.19–0.43)<0.001
 Statin use0.44 (0.23–0.84)0.013
 Systemic corticosteroids1.11 (0.79–1.56)0.554
Model 2
 Age per 20 years1.21 (1.00–1.46)0.050
 Male sex1.48 (1.05–2.09)0.024
 H1N1pdm091.15 (0.74–1.79)0.538
 Bacterial superinfection2.14 (1.48–3.10)<0.001
 NAI treatment
  0–2 days0.20 (0.12–0.32)<0.001
  3–5 days0.35 (0.21–0.58)<0.001
  >5 days0.49 (0.27–0.88)0.017
  None
 Statin use0.49 (0.26–0.94)0.032
 Systemic corticosteroids1.04 (0.73–1.48)0.839
Model 3+
 Age per 20 years1.15 (0.95–1.38)0.148
 Male sex1.34 (0.96–1.86)0.083
 H1N1pdm091.11 (0.75–1.65)0.611
 Bacterial superinfection2.18 (1.53–3.11)<0.001
 NAI treatment§0.39 (0.27–0.57)<0.001
 Statin use0.42 (0.22–0.81)0.009
 Systemic corticosteroids1.09 (0.77–1.53)0.629
Model 4ƒ
 Age per 20 years1.01 (0.82–1.24)0.935
 Male sex1.16 (0.82–1.65)0.392
 H1N1pdm090.65 (0.42–1.02)0.062
 Bacterial superinfection1.50 (1.03–2.19)0.034
 NAI treatment§0.39 (0.26–0.59)<0.001
 Statin use0.59 (0.30–1.13)0.112
 Systemic corticosteroids1.12 (0.78–1.61)0.553
  • In all models, neuraminidase inhibitors (NAI) treatment propensity score was included as a covariate (see methods), and had a p-value <0.05. An adjusted hazard ratio <1 indicated a lower probability of death. #: model 1 was adjusted for NAI treatment, bacterial superinfection, statin and corticosteroid use (yes versus no) and H1N1pdm09 (versus seasonal influenza A/B viruses). : model 2 was adjusted for NAI treatment; “none” was the reference group. +: time-dependent Cox regression. §: models 3 and 4 were time-dependent Cox regressions; NAI treatment initiation with respect to day of illness onset was analysed as a time-dependent covariate (versus none). ƒ: pneumonia subgroup.