Exposure | EU Project | Author [ref.], year | Number of cities | Population | Temperature indicator °C | Health indicator | Change in health indicator per 1°C increase in temperature indicator or during heatwave days % (95% CI)# | Lag days |
Heat | PHEWE | Baccini [40], 2008 | 15 | All ages | Tappmax threshold: 29.4 Mediterranean cities: 23.3 north continental cities | Respiratory deaths | 6.7 (2.4–11.3) Mediterranean cities 6.1 (2.5–11.1) north continental cities | 0–3 |
≥75 years | 8.1 (3.2–13.4) Mediterranean cities 6.6 (3.0–11.4) north continental cities | |||||||
Michelozzi [41], 2009 | 12 | All ages | Tappmax 90th percentile (range): 19.7–36.4 | Respiratory admissions | 2.1 (0.6–3.6) Mediterranean cities 1.2 (0.1–2.2) north continental cities | 0–3 | ||
≥75 years | 4.5 (1.9–7.3) Mediterranean cities 3.1 (0.8–5.5) north continental cities | |||||||
Heatwave | EuroHEAT | D'Ippoliti [42], 2010 | 7 | 65–74 years | Tappmax 90th percentile (range): 27.1–39.9¶ | Respiratory deaths | 32.4 (14.3–53.3) males, 45.8 (22.3–73.7) females: Mediterranean cities 16.8 (6.3–28.1) males, 12.6 (-0.1– -27.0) females: north continental cities | No lag |
75–84 years | 44.8 (30.9–60.0) males, 61.3 (44.3–80.4) females: Mediterranean cities 19.0 (11.0–27.6) males, 21.4 (12.9–30.6) females: north continental cities | |||||||
≥85 years | 58.9 (42.9–76.5) males, 58.1 (44.3–73.3) females: Mediterranean cities 12.1 (3.5–21.4) males, 30.0 (22.8–37.6) females: north continental cities | |||||||
Cold | PHEWE | Analitis [43], 2008 | 15 | All ages | Tappmin median (range): -5.3–11.1 | Respiratory deaths | 2.8 (1.6–4.0) Mediterranean cities+ 3.7 (2.9–4.5) north continental cities+ | 0–15 |
15–64 years | 3.1 (2.1–4.1)+ | |||||||
65–74 years | 3.5 (2.8–4.3)+ | |||||||
≥75 years | 3.3 (2.6–4.1)+ | |||||||
Marino [44], 2009 | 12 | All ages | Tmin mean (range): -0.9–13.7 | Respiratory admissions | -1.6 (-2.5− -0.6) Mediterranean cities -2.5 (-3.6− -1.3) north continental cities | 0–15 | ||
≥75 years | -2.7 (-3.3− -2.1) Mediterranean cities -4.1 (-5.7− -2.5) north continental cities |
Mediterranean cities (PHEWE: Athens, Rome, Barcelona, Valencia, Turin, Milan, and Ljubljana; EuroHEAT: Athens, Barcelona, Milan, Rome, and Valencia). North continental cities (PHEWE: Prague, Budapest, Zurich, Paris, Helsinki, Stockholm, London, and Dublin; EuroHEAT: Budapest, London, Munich and Paris). Tappmax: maximum apparent temperature; Tappmin: minimum apparent temperature; Tmin: minimum temperature. #: 90% confidence interval in D'Ippoliti et al. 2010 [42]; ¶: study period except summer 2003; +: % increase in health indicator per 1°C decrease in temperature indicator.