Mortality | Hospitalisations | |||||||||||
MATCH-RCA3-ECHAM4 (A2) | MATCH-RCA3-HadCM3 (A1B) | MATCH-RCA3-ECHAM4 (A2) | MATCH-RCA3-HadCM3 (A1B) | |||||||||
1961–1990 | 2021–2050 | 1961–1990 | 1990–2009 | 2021–2050 | 2041–2060 | 1961–1990 | 2021–2050 | 1961–1990 | 1990–2009 | 2021–2050 | 2041–2060 | |
Austria | 485 | 522 | 533 | 539 | 559 | 558 | 945 | 1016 | 1037 | 1050 | 1088 | 1087 |
Belgium | 381 | 512 | 529 | 551 | 602 | 626 | 537 | 722 | 745 | 777 | 848 | 882 |
Bulgaria | 720 | 744 | 672 | 693 | 716 | 722 | 1266 | 1308 | 1180 | 1217 | 1259 | 1268 |
Cyprus | 54 | 54 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 52 | 55 | 54 | 51 | 51 | 52 | 53 |
Czech Republic | 600 | 650 | 664 | 678 | 704 | 704 | 828 | 897 | 917 | 935 | 971 | 971 |
Denmark | 238 | 255 | 290 | 291 | 295 | 292 | 374 | 400 | 455 | 457 | 463 | 459 |
Estonia | 55 | 51 | 61 | 60 | 58 | 54 | 86 | 80 | 96 | 94 | 91 | 85 |
Finland | 123 | 113 | 145 | 138 | 132 | 126 | 273 | 250 | 322 | 306 | 294 | 280 |
France | 2659 | 3320 | 3123 | 3178 | 3488 | 3594 | 3852 | 4809 | 4524 | 4604 | 5052 | 5206 |
Germany | 2167 | 2562 | 2675 | 2723 | 2903 | 2945 | 2771 | 3276 | 3421 | 3482 | 3712 | 3766 |
Greece | 1007 | 1052 | 956 | 984 | 1020 | 1045 | 1481 | 1546 | 1405 | 1447 | 1499 | 1536 |
Hungary | 791 | 853 | 802 | 830 | 874 | 866 | 1226 | 1322 | 1244 | 1287 | 1355 | 1343 |
Ireland | 62 | 72 | 79 | 83 | 78 | 75 | 121 | 139 | 152 | 161 | 151 | 144 |
Italy | 5737 | 6491 | 6003 | 6103 | 6553 | 6630 | 6712 | 7594 | 7024 | 7141 | 7667 | 7757 |
Latvia | 100 | 94 | 108 | 108 | 106 | 98 | 162 | 152 | 175 | 174 | 171 | 159 |
Lithuania | 123 | 113 | 129 | 130 | 127 | 119 | 278 | 255 | 291 | 292 | 287 | 268 |
Luxembourg | 19 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 37 | 46 | 46 | 47 | 51 | 51 |
Malta | 35 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 |
Netherlands | 496 | 640 | 696 | 729 | 776 | 791 | 375 | 483 | 526 | 551 | 586 | 598 |
Norway | 121 | 115 | 150 | 148 | 137 | 132 | 180 | 172 | 223 | 220 | 204 | 197 |
Poland | 1771 | 1825 | 1939 | 1990 | 2028 | 1957 | 2617 | 2697 | 2865 | 2940 | 2997 | 2892 |
Portugal | 819 | 972 | 726 | 744 | 823 | 848 | 668 | 792 | 592 | 606 | 671 | 691 |
Romania | 1481 | 1500 | 1397 | 1435 | 1486 | 1473 | 3849 | 3898 | 3632 | 3730 | 3862 | 3830 |
Slovakia | 302 | 315 | 312 | 317 | 328 | 325 | 436 | 455 | 450 | 458 | 474 | 469 |
Slovenia | 127 | 138 | 132 | 134 | 139 | 139 | 163 | 178 | 171 | 172 | 179 | 179 |
Spain | 3236 | 3730 | 2887 | 2975 | 3324 | 3425 | 3902 | 4499 | 3482 | 3587 | 4008 | 4130 |
Sweden | 303 | 295 | 360 | 355 | 347 | 337 | 285 | 278 | 339 | 334 | 327 | 317 |
Switzerland | 412 | 456 | 485 | 488 | 502 | 507 | 453 | 501 | 534 | 536 | 552 | 558 |
UK | 1489 | 1954 | 2045 | 2143 | 2191 | 2215 | 1640 | 2152 | 2252 | 2361 | 2413 | 2439 |
Total | 25915 | 29458 | 28012 | 28658 | 30414 | 30723 | 35596 | 39998 | 38178 | 39045 | 41313 | 41645 |
Data are presented as n. Estimates are built on modelled ground-level ozone concentrations based on chemistry-transport calculations using regional climate downscaling (with RCA3) of two different global climate models (ECHAM4 and HadCM3) with two CO2 emission scenarios (A2 and A1B) in different time-periods. MATCH: model of atmospheric transport and chemistry.