The BODE index, which integrates body mass index, airflow limitation (forced expiratory volume in one second), dyspnoea and 6-min walk distance, predicts mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) improves some components of BODE. It was hypothesised that changes in BODE may reflect the effects of PR.
To test this, participation in PR was offered to 246 patients (BODE quartiles 2–4). The patients were divided as follows: no PR (130 who declined rehabilitation or who dropped out from PR), and PR (116 who completed PR). BODE was determined at entry, after PR, and at 1 and 2 yrs. Other outcomes were: length of stay (LOS) for respiratory-related hospitalisations and mortality.
At entry, the two groups had similar age and comorbidity but different BODE. After PR, the BODE improved by 19% and returned to baseline after 2 yrs. The BODE worsened in the no PR group by 4% at 12 months and 18% at 2 yrs. Respiratory mortality at 2 yrs for PR was 7%, compared with 39% for no PR. LOS at 1 yr for COPD decreased 20% in PR, while it increased 25% in no PR.
In conclusion, pulmonary rehabilitation participation improves BODE and is associated with better outcomes. The BODE index change after pulmonary rehabilitation provides valuable prognostic information.
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) will be the third most frequent cause of death in the world by the year 2020 1. It is characterised by poorly reversible airflow limitation and dyspnoea 2–4. As the disease progresses, some patients develop systemic manifestations, including exercise limitation 4, 5, peripheral muscle dysfunction 5–7, pulmonary hypertension 8, malnutrition 9, 10 and recurrent exacerbations leading to hospitalisations 11. Due to the lack of effect of most therapies on the decline of lung function 2, 3, 12, COPD is perceived as being poorly responsive to treatment. However, several studies have identified the value of correcting gas exchange 13, 14, improving walk distance 2, 3, 15–17, degree of functional breathlessness 18 and nutritional status 19. Therefore, assessing and treating COPD solely on the basis of airflow limitation negates the importance of other treatable clinical manifestations of the disease.
Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) is a therapy that, without affecting lung function, impacts on some of the other consequences of the disease. PR reduces healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU) 20, 21, improves health status 22, decreases dyspnoea 18, 23 and enhances exercise capacity 24–27. Two of these outcomes, dyspnoea and exercise capacity, are components of the body mass index (BMI) (B), degree of obstruction (O), dyspnoea (D) and exercise capacity (E), or BODE index 28 and are also independent predictors of survival in COPD 29, 30. Based on these associations, the current authors planned an observational study to test the hypothesis that PR improves the BODE index and that the change in BODE relates to survival over time. The study was observational in design because it would have been inappropriate to deny participation in pulmonary rehabilitation to patients willing to partake in it over a 3-yr period.
MATERIAL AND METHODS
This prospective observational cohort study comprised 246 consecutive outpatients (98% male), with a diagnosis of COPD at the Bay Pines Veterans Affairs (VA) Medical Center, FL, USA. These patients are part of a larger multicentre BODE cohort study on COPD, the details of which have already been reported 28. The study was approved by the human review-board of the institution. Patients signed a consent form and were followed for ≥2 yrs or until death.
COPD was determined by a history of smoking >10 pack-yrs, and a post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity <0.7. The spirometry and lung volumes were determined following the American Thoracic Society (ATS) criteria 31. The patients were receiving optimal medical therapy following current recommendations 2, 3. The exclusion criteria were: 1) contraindications to PR as identified in guidelines 32; 2) illness that could cause death within 3 yrs; 3) asthma as defined by medical history, as well as by >15% FEV1 or 200 mL increase after 200 μg of inhaled albuterol; 4) inability to perform the tests; 5) myocardial infarction within 4 months; 6) unstable angina; or 7) congestive heart failure stage III or IV in the New York Heart Association classification.
Age, sex, race, smoking history in pack-yrs, current smoking status, history of oxygen dependence, medications and corticosteroids use and dosing, room air arterial blood gas at rest, and oxygen saturation with exercise, were all recorded. The validated Charlson index was used to determine the degree of comorbidity 33. The BODE index was calculated as described 28 at baseline, after PR and every 6 months for ≥2 yrs or until death.
Patients were grouped according to their participation as follows: the no PR group included those patients who voluntarily declined participation or who dropped out from the PR programme before graduation. The PR group included those patients who agreed to participate, and who completed all sessions and graduated. Patients were considered PR responders if there was a change in BODE index of -1 point or more. A summary of the study is shown in figure 1⇓. PR consisted of 24, 2-h sessions over 8 weeks, including education, psychosocial support and supervised exercise training. Exercise intensity was individualised. Patients used a treadmill, arm cycling, and arm and leg weights. Participation in a maintenance exercise programme was offered to all graduates. Patients were encouraged to remain physically active. Active smokers were allowed to participate in PR only after graduation from a smoking cessation programme and all patients were offered a referral to the programme.
Mortality was confirmed by reviewing the computerised Bay Pines VA Medical Centre medical record system (CPRS), and verified by contacting the patient's next of kin whenever available. Hospital length of stay (LOS) for admissions due to COPD exacerbations was reviewed for 12 months prior to enrolment for all patients, and prospectively captured for 1 yr following enrolment into the protocol. Only Bay Pines VA Medical Centre hospitalisations were included in the analysis.
Data for continuous variables are presented as mean±sd. Inter- and intra-group comparisons were completed using both paired and unpaired t-tests for continuous variables and Chi-squared for categorical variables. The factors associated with mortality were analysed using Cox proportional hazards analyses 34. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to describe the survival distribution of the groups. A p-value <0.05 was deemed significant. All analyses were completed using an intent-to-treat design.
The population consisted primarily of white males (98%). The mean FEV1 was 0.99 L (32% of predicted). The mean follow-up was 39 months, ranging 3–87 months. A total of 57% of the patients were oxygen dependent and 15% were receiving systemic corticosteroids. Their entry mean BODE index was 6.07±2.01, consistent with quartile 3 28, and 27% of the patients were current smokers. There were 80 deaths in 2 yrs (33%), the majority of which were of respiratory origin (83%).
The characteristics of the groups are shown in table 1⇓. A total of 53% of patients declined participation in PR or dropped out of the programme voluntarily. These patients had similar age and FEV1 than the PR patients. However, they had a higher BODE (p<0.0001), a lower BMI (p<0.002) and 6-min walk distance (6MWD; p<0.0001), a worse FEV1 (p<0.001), and had more dyspnoea (p<0.0001). They had a similar history of packs per year, but a higher percentage of them were current smokers (30 versus 23%; p<0.001). All patients participating in PR who were smokers agreed to join a smoking cessation programme prior to PR. Only 8% of current smokers in the no PR group participated in the smoking cessation programme. Altogether, 27% of no PR and 5% of PR participants were currently smoking at the end of the follow-up period (p<0.0026). More patients who refused participation in PR were receiving oral corticosteroids and were on chronic oxygen therapy (p<0.001).
Even though the programme was offered free of direct cost, only 63% of all qualifying patients agreed to participate in PR and only 47% of patients graduated from the programme (25% drop-out rate). The drop-out patients were considered together with the no PR group because they had similar clinical characteristics. These included: age, sex distribution, FEV1, use of oxygen and corticosteroids, baseline oxygenation and carbon dioxide, as well as BODE score. The only differences was a lesser degree of comorbidity in the drop out versus no PR (Charlson of 4.3+1.7 compared with 5.3+1.7; p = 0.007) and a higher percentage of current smokers in that group (38% compared with 26%; p = 0.001). To assess the factors influencing compliance with participation in PR (drop-out risk) the current authors developed a multiple regression analysis model using graduation from PR as the dependent variable. Only a worse entry BODE, current smoking, and a history of attendance to a smoking cessation programme contributed to the model (r2 = 26; p<0.0001). Whereas 49% of PR graduates (p<0.0001) reported participation in some type of exercise after graduation (daily walks, joined a gym or exercised in the Young Men Christian Association), only 10% of the patients in the no PR group reported participation in regular exercise.
The change in BODE for patients participating in PR is shown in figure 2⇓. The mean change for the PR group was −0.9 (p<0.0001) at 3 months. Altogether, 83 patients, or 71%, had >1 unit improvement in BODE. Of these, 29 patients (25%) improved the BODE index by −2 points, 54 patients (47%) by −1 point. No change in BODE was seen in 25 patients (22%) and eight patients (7%) showed worsening of the index. As shown in table 2⇓, after the initial improvement of 19%, PR participants showed a return of the BODE index to baseline at 1 yr (4%) and remained stable after 2 yrs. The patients who did not partake in PR showed a decline in BODE at 1 yr of 4%, and a worsening in BODE at 2 yrs of 18%. The changes in the individual components of BODE after 2 yrs of follow-up were as follows: no PR patients showed a 160 mL decline in FEV1, higher than PR participants who showed a 20 mL decline (p<0.0001). All groups showed a decline in exercise capacity (no PR −53 m versus PR −14 m; p<0.001). PR responders had a decrease of −0.14 MRC dyspnoea units, whereas no PR showed an increase in the MRC score of 0.38 units, respectively (p<0.001). There were no changes in BMI in either group.
The hospitalisation rate is shown in table 3⇓. The highest rate of hospitalisation and the longest LOS for COPD admissions in the year preceding enrolment were seen in the no PR group. This pattern persisted in the year post-enrolment with an overall increase in LOS. Hospital utilisation was significantly lower among patients participating in PR, with the most benefit seen among those who decreased their BODE index ≥1 point. LOS declined 20% for the all PR participants and by 65% for those PR patients improving the BODE index by 2 points. LOS increased 25% for no PR patients.
There were 80 deaths in 2 yrs. The no PR group (130 patients) had 66 deaths; 57 were respiratory-related, four were cardiovascular, three were related to other malignancies, and the rest to various causes. In the PR group there were 13 deaths; eight patients died from respiratory illness, three from acute myocardial infarction, and two from cancer. Figure 3⇓ shows that mortality was significantly higher in patients who did not enrol in rehabilitation and lowest for patients who had >1 unit change in BODE after PR. The difference in mortality between responders and nonresponders did not reach statistical significance, most likely because of the low number of deaths in either group (eight and five, respectively). Figure 4⇓ shows the Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the two groups. By log rank analysis there was a difference between PR and no PR (p<0.001). Patients participating in PR had a lower mortality than patients that did not enrol in rehabilitation across the different BODE quartiles (table 4⇓). A Cox proportional hazard analysis (table 5⇓) showed that the post-rehabilitation BODE, participation in rehabilitation and degree of comorbidity were the only factors participating in the prediction of mortality.
This observational study of patients with COPD offered participation in PR has several important findings. First, the response to PR can be objectively measured using the BODE index. Secondly, the change in BODE index provides information regarding ultimate survival. Thirdly, participation in a rehabilitation programme is associated with a decrease in hospitalisations.
Although PR has minimal effect on lung function, it improves dyspnoea 18, 23, exercise capacity 24–26, health status 22 and healthcare resource utilisation 20, 21. Two of these outcomes, dyspnoea and exercise capacity, are components of the BODE index. As such, the BODE index could be used to evaluate the effect of PR. The current authors defined one unit change in BODE as being clinically significant because it implies a change in any of its component of a magnitude large enough to influence clinical outcomes. Indeed, one unit change in the Modified Medical Research Council scale predicts mortality 29. Likewise, one unit change in the 6MWD in the BODE score far exceeds the 50 m considered to be clinically significant changes for this test 35. Similarly, one unit change in the FEV1 component of the BODE index reflects the thresholds that have been accepted by the ATS/European Respiratory Society and Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) as the basis for the physiological staging of COPD 2, 3. Using this conservative threshold, 71% of the patients participating in PR improved the BODE index, a finding that supports that BODE is a valid tool to evaluate the integrated response to interventions.
Although showing that BODE can reflect the response to therapy is important, it is more important to determine the true meaning of this change. In the current study, the authors show that disease modification as measured by the BODE index is possible after PR, and that the observed change confers a predictive information heretofore unavailable. The current authors have previously shown that patients with BODE index in the third and fourth quartiles have a very high mortality at 52 months 28. Accordingly, the predicted 2-yr mortality for patients with a BODE index in quartiles 3 and 4, was 20 and 30%, respectively 28. In the current study, the entire patient population (PR and No PR) had an entry BODE index of 6.06, consistent with quartile 3 of BODE. Their observed 2-yr mortality rate was 33%, which approximated the predicted mortality for that quartile. PR participants as a group had an initial BODE index of 5.07, which decreased significantly to 4.18 after PR. Compared with the current authors original report, they shifted from quartile 3 to 2 and their initially predicted mortality of 20 to 30% changed to an observed mortality of 11.2%. No PR patients exhibited an entry BODE index approaching quartile 4 (6.94), and showed a close to 20% worsening of BODE overtime. Their observed mortality rate was the highest (50%). The difference in mortality between the two groups is likely due to self-selection, as patients not participating in rehabilitation were sicker and continued to smoke more than the patients in the PR group. Interestingly, the Charlson score of the no PR and PR groups was similar, indicating that comorbidity may not have played a significant role in their overall outcomes. Taken together, these data demonstrate that the BODE index can not only be used to reflect the global changes induced by PR, but also that a change in BODE index may actually imply a change in outcome, so in a sense BODE can be considered a surrogate marker for mortality.
It is likely that the higher severity of disease as measured by BODE explains the observed mortality in the no PR group. Indeed, that group had a higher percentage of patients with BODE index in the 4th quartile when compared with the PR participants, and a higher percentage of current smokers. The current authors have shown that for every point increase in the BODE index there is a corresponding increase in mortality 28. In addition, the higher number of patients on chronic corticosteroids and supplemental oxygen in the no PR group support this possibility. However, as shown in table 5⇑, those patients in the PR group with BODE quartile 4 showed the highest survival advantage when compared with their counterparts in the no PR group. Using multivariate analysis with death as the dependent variable, the only variables entering the predictive model were the BODE index, participation in PR and degree of comorbidity. Finally, because the small number of patients who continued to smoke in the PR group may not have allowed this variable to enter in the predictive model, it is possible that the difference in the persistent higher smoking prevalence in patients who did not partake in rehabilitation compared with that of patients who did participate in PR played a role in the increased mortality in the former group.
To the current authors' knowledge, this study is the first that attempts to identify the factors that lead patients to decline or to drop-out from participation in PR. A high BODE index, indicating more severe multidimensional affliction by COPD, current smoking and prior attendance to a smoking cessation programme were the only factors that identified such patients. This demonstrates the great need to better characterise and study this population, as their natural course is very poor. Indeed, the mortality in that group (which continued to receive regular optimal care at a COPD clinic) was higher than the expected mortality in the original BODE cohort. It is extremely urgent that alternative therapeutic strategies aimed at these individuals are developed. Furthermore, the capacity to treat smoking addiction as a primary disease must be developed, because this certainly was an important reason for the continued deterioration of these patients. The problem is very large, indeed, it is disturbing that in a recent work by Bourbeau et al. 20, close to 60% of the patients declined participation in a programme of pro-active management of COPD. In that study, there was no mention of any factor leading to lack of participation in the therapeutic trial. The remarkably similar number of decliners of participation in the current study and that of Borbeau et al. 20 suggests the presence of other, yet undefined, elements related to the active participation of patients in their own care.
This study also documented improvement in utilisation of healthcare resources among PR participants. This confirms the results of previous studies 20, 21 that showed a significant improvement in hospitalisation rate and hospital stay after pulmonary rehabilitation. Prior studies assessing the long-term effects of PR have reported that gains in health-related quality of life and HCRU, persist for up to 2 yrs following PR, and that other outcomes, such as improvements in dyspnoea and functional capacity, are lost if patients fail to remain active 26, 27, 36. In the current study, 29% of PR graduates joined a supervised maintenance exercise programme and continued to exercise (three times per week) throughout their observational period, and as many as 49% of graduates reported that they continued to exercise on a regular basis for at least 1 yr following PR. Perhaps this factor contributed to their improved outcomes.
This study had some limitations. First, it was not a randomised trial. However, the current authors felt that the evidence of the beneficial effects of pulmonary rehabilitation were such that a randomised trial that condemned the patients willing to participate in rehabilitation to a passive control group with 2-yr survival as an outcome was not ethically justified. Further, several reviews have suggested that well planned observational studies provide information that closely resemble that provided by randomised trials 37, 38. Secondly, few females were included. Therefore, the findings from the current study may not be applicable to both sexes and similar studies with a large group of females may be needed before the conclusions can be extended to both sexes. Thirdly, the study population is restricted to patients attending a pulmonary clinic with BODE quartiles 2–4, thus, the findings from the current study could only be applicable to that group of patients. However, because PR is recommended for patients with symptomatic lung disease, most patients attending rehabilitation will have BODE index similar to the ones in the current study.
In summary, the current study has shown that the BODE index captures the beneficial effects induced by pulmonary rehabilitation. More importantly, the post-rehabilitation response in BODE may play a role in their long-term survival. Those patients who declined participation in pulmonary rehabilitation or who dropped out from the programme had higher BODE index values and a worse progression of disease. These patients have a poor prognosis and research must be devoted to characterise the reasons and possible interventions to alter their outcome. Finally, the current authors confirm that pulmonary rehabilitation is also associated with decreased utilisation of healthcare resources, making this therapy cost effective and essential in the management of symptomatic patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
- Received April 15, 2005.
- Accepted July 8, 2005.
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