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Eur Respir J 2006; 28:900-902
Copyright ©ERS Journals Ltd 2006

Excess mortality in patients with asthma on long-acting ß2-agonists

J. Hasford1 and J. C. Virchow2

1 Dept of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Munich, 2 Faculty of Medicine, Rostock University Medical Clinic, Dept of Pneumology, Rostock, Germany.

CORRESPONDENCE: J. Hasford, IBE - Dept of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität, Marchioninistr. 15, D-81377 München, Germany. Fax: 49 8970957482. E-mail: has{at}ibe.med.uni-muenchen.de

Asthma ranks among the most common of chronic diseases in the Western world. Although modern therapy has improved patient care, asthma still affects 5–10% of the population and, according to the World Health Organization, claims the lives of some 12,000 patients per year in Western Europe 1. ß2-Agonists are potent bronchodilators and are the most widely prescribed drugs for asthma worldwide. National and international guidelines recommend short-acting ß2-agonists as as-needed therapy for symptomatic relief in all stages of asthma. Long-acting ß2-agonists (LABAs) have been recommended as controller medication for moderate and severe asthma. Nevertheless, the safety profile of short-acting ß2-agonists has been questioned due to possible detrimental effects on asthma control 25. Recent evidence and meta-analysis suggest an increased risk for cardiovascular complications in patients using ß2-agonists 68 and, in addition, there is evidence suggesting that the frequent use of these drugs might increase the risk of premature death 911. The hypothesis that ß2-agonists can have fatal adverse effects was first demonstrated in the late 1960s 12. Inman and Adelstein 12 reported a 30–700% increase, depending on age, in asthma death in patients using pressurised aerosols containing, most often, isoprenaline. The excess mortality in patients with asthma at that time was attributed to overdosing (metered-dose aerosols were not widely available at the time). ß2-Agonists came into focus again in the 1980s, when more selective ß2-agonists were introduced in metered-dose inhalers. However, in the 1990s, case–control studies showed that the use of these drugs was associated with an increased risk of fatal asthma, even when inhaled from a metered-dose inhaler. A dose-dependent risk of death from asthma was reported, which increased up to 20-fold with the use of ß2-agonists 11. LABAs were developed and first marketed in the early 1990s, and it was suggested that these drugs could be free of the fatal adverse drug reactions associated with their short-acting counterparts. Since then, two large randomised, double-blind trials have been performed to test the hypothesis that the use of LABAs in asthmatic patients is associated with an increased risk of death. The second trial, the Salmeterol Multicenter Asthma Research Trial (SMART), has recently been published 13. The present editorial reviews the evidence provided by these trials, which belongs to evidence class Ib.

The Serevent Nationwide Surveillance (SNS) Study 14 was a 16-week, double-blind, randomised trial to investigate the safety of the LABA salmeterol in comparison with the short-acting ß2-agonist salbutamol. A total of 25,180 patients with asthma were recruited in the UK. Exclusion criteria were as follows: 1) treatment with ß-blockers; 2) severe uncontrolled pulmonary or systemic disease; 3) pregnancy; and 4) <12 yrs of age. The SNS study treatment consisted of 50 µg salmeterol b.i.d. or 200 µg salbutamol q.i.d. plus the required placebo inhalations. Follow-up examinations were performed after 4, 8 and 16 weeks. As the main target parameter was safety, all serious adverse events and drop-outs were recorded. Of the patients, ~50% were male, 45% were >50 yrs of age, ~17.5% had severe asthma, and 69% took inhaled and 4.8% oral steroids. Ninety-one per cent had used inhaled ß2-agonists in the past. Death due to any cause occurred in 0.32% of the patients in the salmeterol group (54 out of 16,787) and in 0.24% (20 out of 8,393) of the patients in the salbutamol group (relative risk (RR) 1.35, Chi-squared = 1.3, p = 0.250). The corresponding figures for death due to asthma or airway disease were 0.07% (12 out of 16,787) and 0.02% (two out of 8,393) (RR 3, p = 0.105). The number needed to harm (NNH) for death of any cause was 1,250 in patients treated with salmeterol for 16 weeks. By the standards at the time, the SNS study was well designed and reported. However, the intention-to-treat analysis of the primary safety end-points using the Chi-squared test was inappropriate. Instead, Kaplan–Meier curves and the log rank test would have been correct, as the event rates should have been calculated only for those patients who were actually at risk. Thus, the true adverse event incidences were underestimated in the SNS study because the denominator included all randomised patients and was not adjusted, e.g. for those 3,256 patients who dropped out prematurely (and thus decreased their risk of reaching ß2-agonist-associated end-points). The salmeterol dose corresponded to the daily dosage of 100 µg recommended in most countries (this dosage is equivalent to the recommended dosage in the USA of 42 µg b.i.d.); the 800 µg daily dose of salbutamol was at the upper end of the recommended range (one or two 100-µg inhalations 2–4 times daily). The main conclusion of this first large-scale, randomised, double-blind trial was that more deaths occurred with salmeterol but, compared with salbutamol, this difference was not statistically significant. Still, the results warrant special attention as this trial explicitly investigated whether salmeterol is associated with higher mortality.

Due to the accumulating concerns regarding the safety of LABAs, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) asked the manufacturer of salmeterol to initiate a large safety trial when it was approved in the USA in 1994. The primary end-point of this randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, named SMART 13, was to determine either the number of combined respiratory-related deaths or respiratory-related life-threatening experiences (i.e. intubation and mechanical ventilation). Secondary end-points were as follows: 1) deaths due to asthma; 2) combined deaths due to asthma or life-threatening experiences; and 3) deaths of any cause. The observation period was 28 weeks. The SMART study included asthma patients aged >12 yrs receiving appropriate treatment. Exclusion criteria were as follows: 1) treatment with ß-blockers; 2) a history of adverse reactions to ß-agonists; and 3) earlier or ongoing treatment with LABAs. The SMART study treatment consisted of 2x42 µg of inhaled salmeterol or two inhalations of placebo daily. After a baseline medical examination, patients received the complete medication for the whole treatment period. Follow-up was carried out by telephone after 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, 24 and 28 weeks.

An interim analysis was to be performed after ~30,000 patients were recruited. The protocol called for SMART to be terminated if evidence was found that salmeterol led to an increase in either the primary end-point or asthma-related death. The termination criterion was defined as an RR of 1.4 for the primary end-point and an RR of 3.0 for asthma-related deaths. This interim analysis was performed in 2002 after 25,858 patients had been recruited. SMART was prematurely terminated on January 23, 2003, and 26,355 patients were included in the final analysis (salmeterol n = 13,176, placebo n = 13,179). The following end-points occurred statistically significantly (p<0.05) more frequently in the salmeterol group: 1) respiratory-related deaths (24 out of 13,176 versus 11 out of 13,179 cases, RR 2.2); 2) combined asthma-related death or life-threatening experiences (37 versus 22 cases, RR 1.71); and 3) asthma-related deaths (13 versus three cases, RR 4.4). The NNH for death of any cause was 1,316 for patients treated for 28 weeks with salmeterol. In an attempt to explain the results of SMART, the authors, two of them employees of the sponsor, argued that the imbalance of the end-points occurred largely in the African-American subpopulation (18%) and in patients who did not use inhaled corticosteroids concurrently. In addition, the majority of asthma-related deaths (13 out of 16) occurred when patients were recruited by advertising, and only three cases were seen (but all three in the salmeterol group) when patients were recruited directly by investigators. Some of these observations may be interesting. However, they all are results of post hoc (i.e. not specified in the trial protocol) subgroup analyses. As the authors state, the results of post hoc analyses are not adequate to draw conclusions 13. Since patients with systemic diseases that might place a subject at risk, as well as patients with a history of adverse reactions to any sympathomimetic amine drug were excluded, the risks of using LABA under real-life conditions are likely to be even higher than those reported in SMART. SMART confirmed the a priori hypothesis that inhaled salmeterol leads to excess mortality in asthma patients; the SMART study had explicitly addressed this question and it was terminated prematurely. The protocol-defined termination criteria, a RR of 1.4 for the main target parameter and 3.0 for asthma-related deaths in the life-table analysis, had been reached (RR 1.40 and 4.4, respectively). In view of previous findings 14, it would have been unconscientious and unethical to recruit additional patients simply to confirm the excess salmeterol-associated mortality for the primary end-point with statistical significance. Given these results, the FDA ordered a black box warning for all salmeterol-containing products in 2003, stating that a large placebo-controlled trial had shown a small but significant increase in asthma-related deaths in patients receiving salmeterol. To date, no such warning has been issued by the European Agency for the Evaluation of Medicinal Products.

Studies similar in size to SMART are not available for formoterol, which has been approved in the USA in a 12-mg formulation based on two 12-week studies 15, 16 and a 1-yr study in children aged 5–12 yrs 4. A formoterol 2x12-µg puff was compared with a 2x24-µg puff per day or placebo with on-demand treatment with short-acting ß2-agonists. In all three studies, the highest number of severe asthma exacerbations, defined as either life threatening, requiring hospital admission, or causing disability or death due to status asthmaticus, occurred in the groups that received the highest dose of formoterol which, in addition, was not clinically superior to the 2x12 mg dose. A phase IV post-marketing study over 16 weeks with 2,085 patients with mild-to-moderate persistent asthma led to five (0.9% of all patients) severe asthma-related complications in the group receiving 24 µg formoterol (n = 527), but to only two (0.4%) in the 12-µg group (n = 527) and only one (0.2%) in the placebo group (n = 514) 17. Therefore, the FDA issued the same warning for formoterol, assuming a class effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Two large-scale, double-blinded, randomised studies with a total of >50,000 patients assessing the safety profile of salmeterol are now available. Both studies explicitly addressed the question as to whether mortality is increased with salmeterol. Both studies clearly showed an excess mortality in the salmeterol group, which in one study (SMART) was statistically significant for several cause-of-death categories. All-cause mortality was almost identical in both trials. The NNH for all-cause mortality was also highly comparable (1:1,250 versus 1:1,316) and indicates that the risks are of public-health relevance. In contrast to efficacy studies, according to ethical and legal issues, waiting until predefined significance limits (in SMART p≤0.01) are reached in safety studies is not allowed. The imperative of patient protection holds true. In view of the results of the two studies, both of the highest evidence class (Ib), the existence of salmeterol-related excess mortality has to be assumed with near certainty. As the results from a number of smaller studies with formoterol point in the same direction, the effects observed in these safety studies for salmeterol are likely to be identical for formoterol until proven otherwise.

CLINICAL CONSIDERATIONS

At present, there is little evidence that the addition of inhaled corticosteroids to long-acting ß2-agonists will abolish the risk associated with these drugs. Clearly, additional and correctly designed studies with sufficiently large numbers of patients are needed to address these issues. At present, patients with asthma should be initiated and maintained on sufficiently high doses of inhaled corticosteroids and only patients whose asthma cannot be controlled should receive additional long-acting ß2-agonists on a regular basis. Whether the addition of a leukotriene-receptor antagonist to moderate-to-high-dose inhaled corticosteroids could be a safe and equally effective alternative will require further long-term studies investigating this option. Until then, the use of these medications should be limited to patients with asthma that cannot be controlled otherwise. In addition, long-acting ß2-agonists should be withdrawn from patients who do not profit from their use. Finally, newly developed ultra-long-acting ß2-agonists, such as indacaterol and others, need to be assessed for this risk prior to approval for widespread use in patients with asthma.

REFERENCES

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M. Cazzola and M. G. Matera
Review: Safety of long-acting {beta}2 -agonists in the treatment of asthma
Therapeutic Advances in Respiratory Disease, October 1, 2007; 1(1): 35 - 46.
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