Copyright ©ERS Journals Ltd 2005 Outcome of heartlung and bilateral sequential lung transplantation for cystic fibrosis: a UK national studyUK Cardiothoracic Transplant Audit, Clinical Effectiveness Unit, The Royal College of Surgeons of England, London, UK CORRESPONDENCE: N. R. Banner, Cardiothoracic Transplant Unit, Royal Brompton & Harefield NHS Trust, Harefield Hospital, Hill End Road, Harefield, Middlesex UB9 6JH, UK. Fax: 44 1895828556. E-mail: n.banner@rbh.nthames.nhs.uk Keywords: Adults, cystic fibrosis, lung transplantation, outcomes, survival
Received: June 17, 2004
Cystic fibrosis (CF) patients requiring transplantation for respiratory failure may undergo either heartlung (HLT) or bilateral sequential lung (BSLT) transplantation. The choice of operation varies between surgeons, centres and countries. The current authors investigated whether operation type influenced outcome in adult CF patients transplanted in the UK between July 1995 and June 2002. Propensity scores for receipt of BSLT versus HLT were derived using logistic regression. Cox regression was used to compare survival. In total, 88 BSLTs and 93 HLTs were identified. Patient characteristics were similar overall, but HLT recipients were more likely to be on long-term oxygen therapy and to have had prior resuscitation. There were 72 deaths (29 BSLT and 43 HLT) within 4 yrs. There was a trend towards higher unadjusted survival following BSLT, but, after adjustment, no difference was found (hazard ratio = 0.77; 95% confidence interval 0.292.06). Time to the first rejection episode and infection rates were also similar. A total of 82% of hearts from HLT recipients were used as domino heart transplants. In conclusion, after adjusting for comorbidity, donor factors and ischaemia time, it was found that heartlung and bilateral sequential lung transplantation achieved a similar outcome. The use of domino heart transplantation ameliorated the impact of heartlung transplantation on total organ availability. Cystic fibrosis (CF) is the most common, life-threatening, inherited disease in Caucasians. It affects 7,500 patients at any time in the UK 1 and 30,000 patients in the USA, with 10 million Americans being symptomless carriers of the defective CF gene 2. Despite the multisystem nature of the disease, pulmonary complications are the cause of death in >95% of CF patients 3. Currently, transplantation is the only effective treatment for CF patients with respiratory failure 46 and constitutes a third of the bilateral sequential lung transplantation (BSLT) procedures in children and adults reported to the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation 7, 8. CF patients are the largest single group of patients referred for transplantation with end-stage suppurative lung disease 9. Currently, as many as 4050% of CF patients die on the waiting list due to a paucity in the supply of donor lungs 6. Survival benefits and pulmonary function improvement for CF patients have been reported separately after heartlung transplantation (HLT) 1012 and BSLT 13, 14. Initial results for pulmonary transplantation from the UK national audit have been reported in a preliminary form 15. In this study, the current authors have investigated whether the type of operation (BSLT or HLT) affects the outcome following transplantation for CF, using the UK national audit database.
The UK Cardiothoracic Transplant Audit is a national prospective cohort study that has been collecting data since April 1995 on all intrathoracic transplantation procedures in the UK. The audit collects data when patients are registered on the national waiting list for heart and/or lung transplantation, at the time of transplantation and at selected (90 days and yearly thereafter) follow-up periods.
In the current study, adult CF patients (aged Survival to 4 yrs was the primary end-point of the study. Surviving patients were censored at their last reported follow-up or at 4 yrs (whichever was earlier). Secondary outcomes were time to the first treated rejection episode, number of treated infection episodes, change in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) and use of the domino (HLT) or donor heart (BSLT). Donor and pre-transplant recipient characteristics were compared using the Chi-squared/Fisher's exact tests (categorical data) or the Kruskal-Wallis test (continuous variables). Fisher's exact test was chosen in preference to the Chi-squared test when >20% of the expected frequencies were less than five. All analyses were adjusted for possible confounding variables. Differences in recipient covariates were summarised using propensity scores 16, 17. Derived using logistic regression, the propensity score is the probability of receiving HLT (rather than a BSLT), which is conditional on the recipient's risk profile. Propensity-score centiles were used to adjust the treatment effect (HLT versus BSLT) for differences in recipient covariates not accounted for by other variables included in the outcome analysis. Propensity-score quintiles have been shown to reduce 80% of the bias in the variables used to derive the score 16. Limiting the number of bias-reducing covariates included in the outcome analyses in this way is particularly relevant when the study is small and events are few. Recipient variables included in the propensity score were as follows: age (grouped as 1622 yrs, 2330 yrs, and >30 yrs); sex; body mass index (BMI; grouped as <17.5, 17.619.3, and >19.4 kg·m2); difference in the recipient's weight at transplant and the ideal weight for age and sex (three categories; a difference of >15 kg, 1015-kg difference, and <10-kg difference) 18; percentage predicted FEV1 and forced vital capacity (FVC; <30% compared with >30% predicted for FEV1 and <40% compared with >40% predicted for FVC); history of domiciliary oxygen support; history of previous thoracotomy; diabetes; creatinine clearance (<75 mL·min1, 75100 mL·min1, >100 mL·min1); bilirubin; infection; and admission to hospital prior to transplantation. History of prior resuscitation and ventilation prior to transplantation were not included in the propensity-score calculation as all the events occurred in the HLT group. The ability of the model to discriminate between BSLT and HLT was evaluated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the model fit was assessed using the HosmerLemeshow Chi-squared test.
Cox regression 19 was used to compare survival between the two groups, with and without adjustment for centre volume (six categories; three centre categories with >40 transplants each, two centre categories with 1015 procedures each and a sixth category of two centres who had performed less than five transplants each). The analyses were adjusted for the following: propensity-score quartiles; history of prior resuscitation; home oxygen support; ventilation prior to transplantation; diabetic status; FEV1 and ideal weight groups (as described previously) in the recipient; donor variables; year of transplant (in two eras; July 1995June 1999 and July 1999June 2002); and time from listing to transplant (in five groups; Time to the first rejection episode was also compared using Cox regression, after adjustment for propensity-score quartiles and CMV mismatch. The proportional-hazards assumption was checked for all survival models fitted. Post-transplant infection rates between the two groups were compared using negative binomial regression after adjusting for propensity-score quartiles, CMV mismatch and length of follow-up. Model fit was assessed using the Chi-squared test.
Waiting time to transplant and waiting-list mortality were compared in the cohort of adult CF patients (
A total of 181 (88 BSLT and 93 HLT) first-time adult (aged 16 yrs) CF patients undergoing transplantation between July 1995 and June 2002 in seven centres across the UK were studied (fig. 1
In the UK, HLT was the dominant procedure until 2000, but, since then, BSLT has become more common (p = 0.03, Chi-squared test for trend).
Donor and recipient characteristics were similar across the two groups of CF patients (table 1
Survival At analysis, 72 CF recipients had died. The actuarial 4-yr survival for the whole cohort was 56% (95% confidence interval (CI) 4763). The median follow-up of survivors was 48 and 35 months in the HLT and BSLT groups, respectively. Unadjusted KaplanMeier survival revealed a tendency towards better survival in the BSLT group (p = 0.09; log rank test; fig. 3
Rejection and infection The median time to the first detected rejection episode was 22 days (interquartile range (IQR) 1160 days) for BSLT and 25 days for HLT (IQR 13263 days). After adjusting for propensity-score quartiles and CMV mismatch, there was no significant difference in the time to first rejection between BSLT and HLT groups (hazard ratio = 0.99; 95% CI 0.651.51; p = 0.97). The proportional-hazards assumption was tenable (test for nonproportionality, p = 0.41). There was no difference in the number of infection episodes between the two types of transplant (incidence rate ratio = 0.79; 95% CI 0.441.43; p = 0.45).
Post-operative FEV1
Organ use
Waiting time and waiting-list mortality A total of 451 adult CF patients (aged 16 yrs) were registered for either HLT (n = 241) or BSLT (n = 210) on the waiting list between July 1995 and June 2002. At the time of analysis, 29 remained on the waiting list and 20 had been removed from the list (four patients were subsequently re-registered and went on to have a transplant, four died and the status of the remaining 12 is unknown). In total, 232 patients received transplantation (101 HLT, 119 BSLT, six en bloc double lungs and six bilateral living lobar transplantations). This number exceeds the number included in the main study cohort, as transplants were performed after the end of June 2002. The time to transplant for this cohort differed significantly (p<0.001, log rank test) between HLT (median (IQR) 337 days (122867)) and BSLT (median (IQR) 736 days (3121,410)) groups. The majority of patients received the transplant that they were initially registered for; three out of 101 HLT recipients were registered for BSLT and 27 out of 131 BSLT recipients were registered for HLT. One hundred and seventy-four patients died on the waiting list: 101 in the HLT group and 73 in the BSLT group. There was a significant difference in the time to death on the waiting list (p<0.001, log rank test) between the HLT (median (IQR) 561 days (2071,103)) and BSLT (median (IQR) 957 days (379undefined period)) groups.
Although Hardy et al. 22 performed the first lung transplantation in 1963, it was not until the initial experience with combined HLT in the early 1980s that replacement of lungs was successfully accomplished in humans 2325. Techniques of isolated single- and double-lung (DLT) transplantation and BSLT were subsequently developed. CF patients suffer from respiratory failure associated with bilateral lung sepsis and, hence, require replacement of both lungs, leading to the necessity of HLT, BSLT or en bloc DLT. Isolated single-lung transplantation and contralateral pneumonectomy for CF have been described, but have only been used in rare circumstances 26. DLT has been advocated in the past, but concerns about healing led to its discontinuation 14. DLT was excluded from the current study because of the small number of transplants performed in the study period. BSLT avoids the risk of cardiac allograft vasculopathy, which may be as high as 12% after combined HLT 27. The risk of transplanting a denervated heart and its attendant concerns are also avoided 9. Re-operation rates due to bleeding may be as high as 28% in HLT 28 and initial results of HLT for CF patients were disappointing in some centres 29, while those achieved by others were more encouraging, with 5-yr survival rates up to 52% 11, 30. Early reports documented a high incidence of airway complications following BSLT, which was not seen in HLT, but the incidence of airway complications in BSLT has decreased subsequently 14. One of the attractive features of HLT is the potential domino donor heart, which is fully prepared for transplantation and from a living donor. The potential advantage of a domino donor heart over a cadaveric heart has been highlighted in a recent study 31. In the current study, HLT and BSLT recipients were similar in their pre-transplant characteristics, although HLT recipients received home oxygen support more frequently and had an increased incidence of prior resuscitation. HLT recipients had better creatinine clearance than BSLT recipients. Also, there were more diabetics in the HLT group and proportionally more recipients in this group were receiving hospital treatment at the time of transplant, although this was not statistically significant. Significant centre preferences for one procedure over the other were observed, and this was evaluated by analysing survival with and without an adjustment for centre. A significant reduction in the number of HLT procedures since 2000 was noted in this study, and it is believed that this may be due to a general decrease in transplant activity in the UK, along with changing trends in organ availability and demand. It was found that survival to 4 yrs, unadjusted for differences in comorbidity between the two groups, tended to favour BSLT. However, when survival was adjusted for comorbidity and donor factors, no significant survival advantage was seen after either BSLT or HLT. Time to the first rejection episode and 4-yr infection-episode rates were compared and were found to be similar in both groups. Information on post-operative FEV1 has only been collected since January 2001, and was similar across the groups, although the data were too few to allow a definitive conclusion to be drawn. Analysis of the use of hearts from BSLT donors and domino hearts from HLT recipients revealed a higher proportion of hearts being used from domino donors, ameliorating the impact of heart usage in HLT. Waiting times in the two groups were different in that CF patients who were registered for BSLT waited longer for their transplant and also lived longer on the waiting list. A small number of patients who were registered for HLT went on to receive a BSLT and vice versa, suggesting that HLT and BSLT have been used in a comparable way in the UK. Patients on the waiting list for HLT died significantly earlier than patients waiting for BSLT, despite being on the waiting list for a shorter duration, supporting the view that they were sicker at the time of listing and, hence, at transplantation. The present study has limitations that would be expected of an observational multicentre study. The type of operation was not randomly assigned. The current authors have attempted to adjust for bias due to differences in risk between the two groups through the use of propensity scores and the inclusion of key donor and recipient factors in the regression models. Regression modelling can never entirely account for group imbalances, and the adjusted estimates may still be subject to some residual confounding. However, such confounding is unlikely to change the conclusion. The data used in the current study was collected as part of a multicentre audit of thoracic organ transplantation, and was not designed specifically to address the choice of operation for CF patients. As a result, the present authors were not able to provide details of cardiac allograft vasculopathy in the domino hearts, although a recent study from one of the centres involved in the audit reported results on this complication 31. Post-operative management was specific to each centre, was not recorded in detail and, therefore, could not be accounted for in the present study. Nevertheless, the data reflects the outcome of a large unselected and consecutive series of CF patients treated in the UK. Data in the audit are properly validated by means of regular computer validation programs, performed bimonthly, and case-note validation performed biannually, for accuracy and consistency. The possibility that a small difference in the outcome of the two procedures will become apparent when a much larger number of cases have been accrued cannot be excluded.
Conclusion
The members of the steering group of the UK Cardiothoracic Transplant Audit are as follows: P. Braidley (Northern General Hospital, Sheffield); J.H. Dark (Freeman Hospital, Newcastle); M. Elliott (Great Ormond Street Hospital for Children, London); B. Gutteridge (Representative of National Specialist Commissioning Advisory Group (NSCAG), Dept of Health, London); A. Khaghani (Harefield Hospital, Harefield); J. van der Meulen (Clinical Effectiveness Unit (CEU), The Royal College of Surgeons of England, London); A.J. Murday (Scottish Cardiopulmonary Transplant Unit, Glasgow); J. Wallwork (Papworth Hospital, Papworth); and N. Yonan (Wythenshawe Hospital, Manchester). The unit data coordinators were as follows: S. Beer, H. Constance, Y. Davenport, J. Hasan, M. Kerr, V. Salter, K. White, and P. Whitmore. The authors are indebted to the Data Executive at UK Transplant, Bristol, who initially accrue and assimilate the data for analysis by the UK Cardiothoracic Transplant Audit.
For editorial comments see page 947.
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