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1 GSF - Forschungszentrum für Umwelt und Gesundheit, Institut fur Epidemiologie, Ingolstaedter Landstraße 1, Neuherberg, Germany. 2 Lehrstuhl für Epidemiologie, Institut für medizinische Informationsverarbeitung, Biometrie und Epidemiologie der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Neuherberg, Germany
CORRESPONDENCE: J. Heinrich, GSF - Forschungszentrum für Umwelt und Gesundheit, Institut fur Epidemiologie, Ingolstaedter Landstraße 1, D-85764, Neuherberg, Germany. Fax: 49 8931873380
Keywords: asthma, atopic diseases, bronchial hyperresponsiveness, children, East Germany
Received: July 25, 2000
Accepted April 23, 2001
This study was supported exclusively by a governmental funding source, the Federal Environmental Agency (Umweltbundesamt) Grant No. 298 61 724.
| Abstract |
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Two consecutive cross-sectional surveys of schoolchildren aged 814 yrs from three communities in East Germany were carried out in 19921993 and 19951996. A subsample of 530 and 790 children with complete lung function and cold air challenge data was analysed.
The prevalence of BHR increased from 6.4% in 19921993 to 11.6% in 19951996 (odds ratio (OR): 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.33.0, adjusted for age, sex, season, community and parental education). No changes were found for asthma, allergic rhinitis or allergic sensitization. In contrast, physician diagnosed bronchitis, pneumonia and frequent colds decreased significantly. The observed increase in the prevalence of BHR was reduced (OR: 1.5, 95% CI: 0.952.3) after adjustment for several indoor factors.
In conclusion, while the prevalence of nonallergic respiratory diseases seems to decrease, the prevalence of bronchial hyperresponsiveness might be a first indicator of the suspected increase of asthma prevalence in East Germany. The present results give indirect evidence, that less respiratory infections may be associated with higher bronchial hyperresponsiveness.
Several studies in Germany carried out after reunification showed a lower prevalence of asthma, bronchial hyperresponsiveness (BHR), hay fever and allergies in children and adults in East Germany compared with West Germany 1, 2. People born before 1960 had a similar risk for allergic diseases in East and West Germany 3. Thus, it has been speculated, that changes in living conditions, in environmental and more general in life style (summarized in the rather vague term "western lifestyle") might be responsible for the increasing prevalence of asthma and atopic diseases in western Germany after 1960 4.
After reunification the political, economical and social life in East Germany changed tremendously. Breakdowns of almost all industries lead to a strong decrease of industrial outputs, accompanied by an increasing unemployment rate. In addition, the Eastern German population rapidly adopted a modern "western lifestyle" 1, 4, 5.
If the slow change of the lifestyle in the West over recent decades was responsible for an increase of allergic diseases in western Germany, the adoption of a western lifestyle in the East within a few years should lead to a steep increase of these diseases in East Germany. Early life seems to be the most critical period for the development of allergic sensitization in later life, as this is the period in which the development of persistent immunoglobulin (Ig)-E reactions to antigens takes place 6, 7. Thus changes in the prevalence of allergic diseases are assumed to be detectable in children born around the German reunification in 1990.
Two repeated cross-sectional studies in East German children showed no consistent findings concerning trends in allergies. A study on fourth grade children (aged 911 yrs) from Leipzig, examined in 19911992 and 19951996 showed a statistically significant increase of allergic sensitization assessed by skin-prick test (OR 1.6, p<0.0001) 8. This result was not confirmed by a study in Sachsen-Anhalt where no changes in sensitization of children aged 57 yrs were found between 19921993 and 19951996 (assessed by measurement of specific IgE) 5, 9. Both surveys saw no change in the prevalence of asthma. Surveys in 19911992 that investigated the self-reported prevalence of asthma in adults found an increase of asthma, wheezing and nocturnal cough in Erfurt (East Germany) but not in Hamburg (West Germany) 10.
There is only one study that investigated trends in BHR after reunification 8. This study examined children from Leipzig aged 911 yrs in 19911992 and 19951996. Von Mutius et al. 8 saw no increase in the prevalence of BHR.
It was hypothesized that the change in environmental and social life would result in a higher prevalence of asthma, BHR and atopic diseases. BHR is an important component of asthma and can be measured in objective tests.
Therefore, this hypothesis was tested comparing the prevalence of BHR in East German children within two cross-sectional studies in 19921993 and 19951996.
| Material and methods |
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The data presented in this paper were collected in two consecutive cross-sectional surveys: the first survey took place between September 1992July 1993, the second September 1995July 1996.
The sampling procedure was the same in both surveys. The study population consisted of 57-yr-old school entrants, 810-yr-old third graders, and 1114-yr-old sixth graders.
The analysis of this report is restricted to the third and sixth graders as pulmonary function tests were only performed in these age groups (table 1
). All children of the defined age groups in Zerbst and Hettstedt and those from randomly selected schools in Bitterfeld were invited to participate.
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Approval of the study design and the examination protocol was granted by the University of Rostock Ethics Committee. After receiving informed consent, pulmonary function tests and a physical examination were conducted at the schools. Because of the seasonal fluctuations of respiratory health the examination period was spread over one year, changing the location of the examination every two weeks. In the second survey (19951996) the same schools were examined in the same period of the year as in 19921995.
Questionnaire
Trained personnel distributed letters explaining the study goals and questionnaires to the children's parents, and completed questionnaires were collected 1 week later. The questionnaire consisted of 78 items and was previously used and tested in several national and international studies and adapted to address East German living and housing conditions. It addressed current and past respiratory diseases, socioeconomic factors, housing conditions, indoor exposure, day care attendance, pet contact, nutritional habits, the parental employment and years of education completed.
Pulmonary function measurements
Pulmonary function and bronchial responsiveness were assessed in the same way in both surveys by use of a mobile body plethysmograph (Pneumoscop II, Jaeger S.A., Wuerzburg, Germany) and the cold air hyperventilation provocation device mounted on a bus. All tests were performed between 08:00 h and 14:00 h and the same technician examined all children in 19921993 and 19951996.
Subjects performed both forced and slow ventilatory manoeuvres while in a seated position wearing a noseclip. Forced expiratory manoeuvres were repeated until three reproducible tracings were obtained that met the standards of the American Thoracic Society (ATS) 11. The body plethysmograph was calibrated each morning according to the manufacturer's instruction.
Pulmonary function measurements were corrected to body temperature and barometric pressure-saturated. Children were considered to have primary airway obstruction if their prechallenge forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) was <80% of their forced vital capacity (FVC).
Cold air challenge was performed with a respiratory heat exchange system (Jaeger S.A., Wuerzburg, Germany). The children inhaled dry cold air (15°C, measured at the mouthpiece) with 5% carbon dioxide for 4 min while hyperventilating at 75% of their maximal ventilation per minute or 22 times their FEV1 12. The ventilatory effort was guided by a balloon, which was filled with cold air at the predetermined rate and had to be kept in a half filled state by the child. Pulmonary function tests were repeated 24 min after the cold air challenge.
Children were considered to have BHR to cold air challenge if their postchallenge FEV1 was <91% of their prechallenge FEV1 13.
Allergic sensitization
Serum samples were drawn from >80% of the children, and were immediately separated by centrifugation, frozen and stored at 80°C until they could be analysed together at the end of the second survey. Specific serum IgE was determined in the Pharmacia laboratory (Freiburg, Germany) with the RAST technique (Pharmacia and Upjohn Diagnostics AB, Uppsala, Sweden). The following antigens were tested: Cladosporium m2, grass g6, Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus d1, cat e1, and birch t3. Levels
0.35 IU·mL1 (level 1 on the radioallergosorbent test (RAST) scale) were considered to be a positive antibody concentration.
Statistical analysis
Crude prevalence rates and odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for all binary outcome variables. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess whether the increase in prevalence of BHR over time could be explained by potential confounding factors. The core model included age, sex, place of residence, and parental education as fixed covariates. Additional confounders were included by a stepwise multiple linear regression. Only variables that were found to have at least a marginally significant relationship (p-value <0.10) were included in the model. As 78 of the third grade children participated in 19921993 and 19951996, their responses tended to be correlated, which had to be considered in the analyses. The generalized estimating equations (GEE) approach of Zeger and Liang 14 was used to account for correlation between repeated observations from the same child. Lung function measurements were analysed as repeated measures.
| Results |
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Children with completed cold air challenge were compared between 19921993 and 19951996 with regard to sex and age and parental education (table 2
). Table 2
also shows the changed living conditions in East Germany between 19921993 and 19951996. Children of the second survey lived in bigger apartments with a modern heating system, less bedroom sharing and more pets.
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3 colds in the last year) decreased significantly. Prevalence of BHR increased from 6.4% in 19921993 to 11.6% in 19951996 (Crude OR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.32.9). Table 4
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| Discussion |
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To the best of the authors' knowledge, the present analysis is the first that reports an increase of BHR in East Germany. Von Mutius et al. 8 found no change in BHR among fourth graders between 19911992 and 19951996 in Leipzig. The prevalence or BHR was 6.5% in 19911992 and 6.3% in 19951996. Leipzig is an industrial town with
500,000 inhabitants (region of Bitterfeld:
110,000 inhabitants). Younger children might be more susceptible to changes causing BHR. The children investigated in Leipzig were of a different age (fourth grade) than the children examined in the present study (third and sixth grade). Although the increase in BHR in the present data was detectable for third graders (p=0.007) and sixth graders (p=0.08), the observed increase was less pronounced in the older children and not statistically significant.
Von Mutius et al. 8 described an increase in the prevalence of hay fever and atopic sensitization (skin-prick test) in children aged 911 yrs between 19911992 and 19951996 in Leipzig, in that study there was no change in the prevalence of asthma, asthma-related symptoms, or BHR. In contrast, a survey in Sachsen-Anhalt found an increase in self-reported physician-diagnosed allergies in children aged 57 yrs, but not in allergic sensitization (RAST-CAP-FEIA method), asthma, allergic rhinitis or self reported symptoms of allergic diseases 5. Kraemer et al. 15 investigated time trends in four East German cities and found no differences for allergies and related symptoms.
Although studies on the prevalence in the past were consistent concerning the EastWest differences, studies investigating the change in the prevalence of atopic diseases in Eastern Germany after reunification are inconsistent within surveys and between surveys. So far there is no convincing evidence for an increase in the prevalence of atopic diseases in East Germany. Since early life seems to be the critical period for the development of allergic sensitization in later life, it might be argued, that children and adults examined in those surveys were not exposed to "western" risk factors in the early critical time period (table 7
).
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Kraemer et al. 21 found that in children from small families (up to three people), the prevalence of atopy was higher among children who started to attend day nursery at an older age than those who started at to attend at a younger age. The model suggested by Kraemer et al. 21 was used on the presented data. Compared with children who first attended the daycare nursery at age 6 months, the adjusted OR for BHR were 1.7 (95% CI: 0.93.2) for children who attended at age 12 month and 1.6 (95% CI: 1.12.2) for those who attended at age 24 months and older. These findings support the hypothesis that early infections may protect against BHR in later life.
However, the lower percentage of children who went to a daycare centre at a very early age in 19951996 (table 2
) is not due to the changing lifestyle because of the fall of the Berlin wall but is probably caused by a change in law in 1986. From that time on, mothers with a firstborn could get 1 yr of paid maternity. Before 1986, mothers of a firstborn child were entitled to only 6 months of paid leave.
While heating with coal or wood appears to be protective, in respect to atopic diseases, electric heating 20 or gas cooking 25 seems to have a harmful effect. However, the heating system might only be an indicator for a more traditional way of living (wood of coal) or more "western" lifestyle (central/electric heating).
In the present analysis of children living with a single coal oven, the parental educational level was lower, the children were significantly more exposed to tobacco smoke, they were more often in daycare centres at a younger age, shared their bedroom, lived in smaller homes and had more mould and humidity in their homes. If the "western lifestyle" is responsible for the rise of BHR, coal heating might be a surrogate for a more traditional lifestyle without or with slower adoption of western lifestyle.
The heating system is a parameter that changed after reunification. The youngest children from the second survey were 2 yrs old in 1990. This suggests, that the development of BHR is not solely restricted to the first 2 yrs of life.
After reunification pollution with sulphur dioxide (SO2) and total suspended particles (TSP) decreased noticeably 5, 15. The decline of air pollution is accompanied with a decrease in nonallergic inflammatory airway diseases like bronchitis or pneumonia. So far there is no data on the ultra-fine particles. Accompanied by a major increase of traffic, ultra-fine particles might have increased and thus, be a possible explanation for the increase in BHR. This remains to be investigated.
Viral infections of the airways can lead to BHR 26. Although children with respiratory infections within the last 2 weeks were excluded, one might argue that more serious infections could lead to a BHR for more than 2 weeks. If there would have been an epidemic of respiratory infections in the second survey this could lead to a higher BHR rate. And indeed there was an influenza epidemic in December 1995 and January 1996 (H. Opperman, Hygieneinstitut Sachsen - Anhalt, Walloner Berg 23, Magdeburg, Germany, personal communication). Nevertheless, the higher BHR prevalence was constantly twice as high in the second survey throughout the whole year. Therefore, the influenza epidemic in 1995 and 1996 does not seem to contribute to the higher prevalence of BHR in 19951996. BHR is an important component of asthma 16, 27, 29. BHR differentiates the group of asthmatic children with the most severe, ongoing impairment 16. Most importantly, BHR is a strong risk factor for asthma 30. In a 2-yr follow-up study among 81 students (1117 yrs) who were found to have BHR in a population survey (n=3,067),
45% of asymptomatic students developed asthma in the following 2 yrs 27. An Austrian study showed that asthma is often underdiagnosed. A clinical investigation of all children that had BHR or an abnormal lung function (defined as an FEV1 <80% of the predicted value) in an epidemiological study revealed that about half of the children had unknown asthma 31. Thus, the rise in prevalence of the present study could be the first sign of an increasing prevalence of asthma in East Germany. This result is strengthened by the fact that the baseline airway resistance (Raw >1.1 kPa·s1) in the present population increased significantly between the first and the second survey (OR: 3.0, CI: 1.65.3). Furthermore, the prevalence of the children with increased baseline airways resistance (Raw >1.11) or baseline airways obstruction (FEV1 <80%) or enhanced BHR changed significantly in 19951996 (OR: 2.1; CI: 1.52.8).
A major strength of this study is the use of identical methods in both surveys. The same equipment was used in both surveys. One technician performed all the lung function tests of both surveys. The approach to the children and the flow of the examination were identical. The cold air challenge is a before and after test. Therefore, test results are less biased by changed methods, equipment or encouragement of the nurse. Better helping of the nurse would not result in a higher BHR prevalence since this better helping would lead to better expiratory flows before and after the provocation, thus having the same BHR rates as another examiner. Therefore, it is unlikely that technical differences in performing the BHR measurements between the two surveys can explain the results.
In an epidemiological study like this, several aspects of possible bias and confounding have to be addressed. First of all, there are only two measurements from two cross-sectional surveys. In addition, children came from three regions in East Germany. There is no control group from West Germany to estimate possible secular trends. There was no metropolitan area involved. So, the results might be restricted to the local population or to more rural areas. If the major time for expecting an influence of the changing environment after reunification on asthma outcome is the early childhood, the present study might have been conducted too early. Unfortunately it was not possible to perform cold air challenge again in a third survey that was undertaken in 19981999.
Shortly after the breakdown of the communistic regime it was very easy to motivate people to take part in a study that was carried out with the close collaboration of the local health department. This changed in later years and made it much more difficult to motivate children and their parents to participate. However, the participation rate was high in both surveys, 89% (19921993) and 75% (19951996) of the children took part in the study. Nonetheless, selection bias may partially be responsible for the change in BHR. Another possible bias could be that children who had BHR in 19921993 were more likely to participate in the second survey than children without BHR. The comparison of participants of the first survey who were re-examined in 19951996 and those who were only examined in 19921993 showed no significant difference in the BHR prevalence. Consequently, response bias is unlikely.
The population studied increased in size between the first and the second survey (table 1
). The reason for this is, that between the first and the second survey major changes took place in East Germany. Schools were closed and pooled together resulting in more pupils in the schools analysed. There was no geographic movement that might have influenced the results.
In conclusion, whether the change of bronchial hyperresponsiveness prevalence is caused by indoor or outdoor sources, the data seem to support the hypothesis of a protective element of early respiratory infections. Changes in lifestyle or environment after the first year of life seem to have an effect on the bronchial hyperresponsiveness of children in later life. This might be the first hint of an increasing prevalence of asthma and atopic diseases due to changes towards a "western lifestyle" in Eastern Germany.
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