Copyright ©ERS Journals Ltd 2001 Clinical diagnosis of current asthma: predictive value of respiratory symptoms in the SAPALDIA study1 Centre Valaisan de Pneumologie, Montana, Suisse, 2 Institut de Médecine Sociale et Préventive, Bâle, Suisse, 3 Dept de Médecine Interne, Hôpital Universitaire de Bâle, Bâle, Suisse and 4 Division de Pneumologie, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Suisse CORRESPONDENCE: Dr J. Tschopp PD, Centre Valaisan de Pneumologie, 3962, Montana, Suisse. Fax: 41 27603 81 81 Keywords: asthma, diagnostic sensitivity and specificity, positive and negative predictive value, prevalence, respiratory symptoms
Received: January 4, 2000
Bronchial asthma is a very common disease which often remains underdiagnosed. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive value of the most common respiratory symptoms and to explore the best symptom combinations to predict diagnosis of asthma. A questionnaire comprising common respiratory symptoms was submitted to 9,651 subjects aged 1860 yrs, randomly selected from the Swiss population, of whom 225 subjects (2.3%) had current asthma as confirmed by their general practitioner. Based on these data the authors calculated the predictive values of single symptoms and symptom combinations to diagnose asthma. Wheezing was the most sensitive single symptom (sensitivity 75%). Simple symptoms such as wheezing with dyspnoea, chronic phlegm or chronic cough had specificity greater than 95%. Wheezing with dyspnoea (WD) or nocturnal dyspnoea (ND) had the best positive predictive value (PPV) as isolated symptoms (24% and 21%, respectively). When combining symptoms, wheezing associated with daily dyspnoea at rest or nocturnal dyspnoea showed the best PPV (42% and 39%, respectively), almost double single symptoms such as WD or ND. Wheezing associated with at least two of the three nocturnal symptoms (nocturnal dyspnoea, nocturnal cough or nocturnal chest tightness) had a sensitivity of 80% to diagnose asthma. In conclusion, respiratory symptoms obtained by medical history are reliable predictors of asthma. The findings suggest that particular combinations of symptoms are clinically useful in the differential diagnosis of asthma. Asthma is a common respiratory disease which affects more than 5% of the Swiss population 1. The prevalence of asthma varies considerably among studies due to the lack of well accepted definitions 2 and the different clinical or epidemiological approaches, and underlying population characteristics. Asthma can present with a broad variety of symptoms. Chronic cough may be the sole presenting symptom of asthma 35. The classical triad of dyspnoea, cough and wheezing does not have a sufficient predictive value to diagnose asthma. Baumann et al. 6 showed that only 36% of asthmatics have these three symptoms simultaneously. Isolated symptoms, such as wheezing or dyspnoea, have been shown to be better predictors of asthma. In a longitudinal study of more than 1,000 subjects, Burrows et al. 7 showed that wheezing was the predominant symptom in recently diagnosed asthma. A European study based on the European Respiratory Survey confirmed the strong correlation between asthma and wheezing or nocturnal dyspnoea (relative risk of 29% and 26%, respectively). The correlation with chest tightness and nocturnal cough was weaker (relative risk of 13% and 3%, respectively) 8. To the authors' knowledge, no study has previously looked for the best symptom or combination of symptoms that would enable any general practitioner to reliably diagnose bronchial asthma through medical history. The aim of this study was to determine the diagnostic value of isolated respiratory symptoms in a large cohort of asthma patients drawn from the general population, and to find combinations of symptoms with the best predictive value for the diagnosis of bronchial asthma.
The data were collected from the SAPALDIA (Swiss Study on Air Pollution and Lung Diseases in Adults) study, a project financed by the Swiss National Research Foundation 9.
Patients
Respiratory symptoms
Definitions of asthma
Analysis
Definition of diagnostic predictor
Search for the best combinations of symptoms Step 1: All the possible combinations of the 11 individual symptoms were investigated. A yes or no answer to each question gives 211, i.e. 2,048 different combinations of individual symptoms. Among these possibilities, the authors only selected combinations which included at least 50% of asthmatics. This reduced the number of combinations to 51. Step 2: Of the asthmatics showing one of the 51 selected combinations, the authors calculated the prevalence of each of the 11 symptoms. The single symptoms with the highest prevalence were thus the most predictive for asthma in these combinations of symptoms. Step 3: A certain number of asthmatics (57/225, 25%) did not have any wheezing, the most prevalent symptom. Therefore, it was crucial to identify the most common symptom among these asthmatics. Using the same method as described in step 2, the authors looked for the prevalence of each of the eight remaining symptoms among the combinations of individual symptoms which do not include the three types of wheezing (W, WD, WwC) in nonwheezer asthmatics. This analysis gave us the prevalence of the most frequent symptoms among subjects with current asthma who had no wheezing at all in the last 12 months. Step 4: Combinations of symptoms were constructed from the individual symptoms selected in steps 2 and 3, and their value as a predictor was calculated.
Two-hundred and twenty-five subjects (2.3%) suffered from current asthma at the time of the study, and were therefore included. Out of the initial population of 9,651 subjects, 1,360 (14%) reported wheezing, whatever the form. Wheezing in any form was the most prevalent symptom (168/225; 75%) in asthmatics. All symptoms, except isolated wheezing (W), nocturnal chest tightness, exercise dyspnoea and nocturnal cough, had a specificity of >90%. Wheezing with dyspnoea and nocturnal dyspnoea had the best positive predictive values (23.9% and 21.5%, respectively). The negative predictive value of all the symptoms was higher than 97.9%. The three types of wheezing (table 1
Selection of individual symptoms to build up symptom combinations In step 2, wheezing was present in more than 94% of asthmatics. The three chronic symptoms (CP,CC and CB) were excluded because of their low prevalence (table 2
Diagnostic value of symptom combinations The diagnostic value of symptoms are presented in table 4
Bronchial asthma is one of the most important chronic respiratory diseases with a continuously rising morbidity 1214. The costs of asthma are high 15, and it is worthwhile to improve its diagnosis. The prevalence of current asthma in this study was 2.3%. Neukirch et al. 8 found a slightly higher prevalence of current asthma between 2.7% and 4.0% depending on the regions they studied (Grenoble and Paris, respectively). A multicentre study from Italy 16 also showed a similarly higher prevalence of asthma between 2.5% and 3.6%. The principal reason for this difference is due to the authors' more restrictive definition of asthma. To diagnose asthma in this study, subjects had to not only have been previously asthma diagnosed by a physician, but also have suffered from at least one asthma attack within the last 12 months. The aim of this study was not to establish the prevalence of either asthma or its symptoms, though both prevalences were astonishingly similar to those shown in the European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS) 8, 16, 17 which crossed linguistic barriers. This is not surprising since this study used the same questionnaire as in the ECHRS. There were no significant differences in prevalences between the three speaking areas: French, German and Italian. The authors' aim was to determine how a clinician could use symptoms drawn from simple medical history to better diagnose asthma. The participation rate in the study was slightly lower than that in the European Survey. To ensure the quality of the response, the methodology of the ECHRS was followed and only specifically trained staff were used, who entered the data into the computer immediately and in the presence of the subjects. As shown by Toren et al. 2, diagnosis of asthma cannot be based exclusively on functional criteria. There are still no gold standard specific markers to diagnose asthma. Bronchial hyperreactivity (BHR) could have been used as a marker in the diagnosis of asthma, as discussed in a previous publication 18. However, as Woolcock pointed out 19, BHR is not at all specific for asthma. It can be found in patients with other diseases, especially chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases 20 or can be absent in patients with asthmatic symptoms 21, 22, probably indicating episodic asthma. The present authors therefore decided not to use BHR, despite the fact that most of our subjects participated in the methacholine test. Pekkanen and Pearce 23 recently produced a review on the definition of asthma in epidemiological studies. They showed poor agreement between objective laboratory measurements such as BHR and clinical asthma. They suggested that although clinical asthma cannot be considered to be a true gold standard of asthma, it currently represents the most appropriate standard for use in validating instruments for epidemiological studies. Jenkins et al. 24 tried to validate an asthma questionnaire with or without BHR to diagnose asthma. Interestingly, they concluded that adding BHR to an asthma symptom questionnaire would dramatically decrease the sensitivity to detect clinical asthma and miss the majority of asthmatics involved in this epidemiological study. Since there is no gold standard to define asthma, the diagnostic approach was limited to current asthma as confirmed by a medical doctor, as used by Burrows et al. 7. In medical practice any physician will make a diagnosis of asthma on a collection of symptoms and not on the basis of an isolated symptom or diagnostic tests such as methacholine challenge. However as far as the authors are concerned, no other study has ever addressed the diagnostic value of combinations of symptoms when making a diagnosis of asthma.
Wheezing, in whatever form, has a high diagnostic value as single symptom, with not only a good sensitivity and a well conserved specificity, but an excellent PPV and was associated with the best Youden index (table 1 The results show that it would be advantageous for any clinician to look more systematically for the presence of wheezing when attempting to make a diagnosis of asthma and to ask the patient about nocturnal symptoms. As shown by Gross 25 many years ago, there is no universally accepted definition of asthma. None of the definitions which have been put forward over time 2631 relate its diagnosis only to respiratory symptoms. There are also pitfalls in epidemiological questionnaires. For example, answers to the various questions on respiratory symptoms depend on many factors: patient's memory and understanding of the questions, over and underreporting of symptoms, etc. will all influence the answers to the questionnaire 29. The authors have attempted to avoid as many imprecisions as possible: the questionnaire was conducted by a trained technician using acomputer to record answers immediately. The SAPALDIA questionnaire is an extended version of the questionnaire used in the European Community Respiratory Health Survey 1, 17. Other studies have used the same questionnaire but have not attempted to calculate the sensitivity and specificity of the different symptoms in asthmatics 8, 16.
It remains to be seen whether the symptomatic profile found in the present study is coherent with other epidemiological studies on bronchial asthma. Many authors have been interested in asthmatic symptoms. Using a questionnaire distributed to 1,444 subjects recruited by medical practitioners around London, Littlejohns et al. 32 determined that of 33 diagnosed asthmatics, 94% suffered from wheezing, 91% from cough, 94% from dyspnoea and 89% from production of phlegm. This last symptom was only present in 22% of our asthmatics. Nocturnal symptoms are equally frequent. Two studies have shown that more than 90% of asthmatics are woken up at least once per month by these symptoms 33, 34. Guidelines of the International Asthma Management Project, 1992 35 include nocturnal symptoms not only in the diagnosis but in the classification of asthma severity. However the present study showed that isolated nocturnal symptoms are poor predictors of asthma (table 1 Many authors i.e. refs. 35 have confirmed that cough may be the only symptom of asthma, although there are only a few studies published on this topic, with small numbers of subjects, hence questioning whether serious conclusions may be drawn. For general medical practice, the present study allowed identification of more than 200 asthmatics from a cohort of about 10,000 subjects, and showed that nocturnal and chronic cough are neither sensitive nor specific enough to predict the diagnosis of asthma. Many studies have shown that wheezing is a symptom that is equally frequently found in asthmatics and the general population. Dodge et al. 36 found that the prevalence of wheezing accompanied by dyspnoea is 10% and depending on the age group considered, wheezing represents up to 30% of all respiratory symptoms. They did not examine the diagnostic value of symptoms in asthma. Mortagy et al. 37 found a wheezing prevalence of 27% in more than 2,200 subjects. Peat et al. 38, in a study using more than 5,000 subjects, showed a wheezing prevalence of 24.2% and Littlejohns et al. 32 found a prevalence of wheezing of 21% (313/1,444). In the study of Neukirch et al. 8, prevalence of wheezing was 14% in the general population. It can be concluded from this study that 25% of asthmatics do not wheeze, and that the prevalence of wheezing in the general population is very similar to previous studies. All these studies underline the importance of wheezing in asthma, but also that it is not necessarily present in this disease. It is interesting to note that Dodge et al. 36, using a different statistical approach, found that of 36 newly diagnosed asthmatics, the PPV of the combination of dyspnoea with wheezing, cough and chronic bronchitis was 29%. Neukirch et al. 8 showed that the relative risk of having bronchial asthma is markedly elevated for subjects who suffer from nocturnal dyspnoea or wheezing (associated either with or without dyspnoea).
Medical textbooks describe dyspnoea as a diagnostic symptom of asthma, an observation which is confirmed in the present study, taking a cohort of 225 asthmatics from a normal population. Wheezing accompanied by nocturnal dyspnoea or dyspnoea at rest has a very good diagnostic value (combinations 2, 4 and 5, table 4 In conclusion, this study showed that wheezing with dyspnoea is the best isolated symptom for the diagnosis of asthma. As for the combinations of symptoms, the association of wheezing with two of the three nocturnal symptoms (nocturnal dyspnoea, chest tightness and cough) is the best anamnestic tool to diagnose asthma. It needs to be emphasised that these results have been obtained from an epidemiological study which may possibly limit its clinical value. However, the data suggest that clinicians should focus on particular combinations of symptoms in the differential diagnosis of asthma prior to confirmation by paraclinical objective tests. SAPALDIA (Swiss Study on Air Pollution and Lung Diseases in Adults) Team: Study director: P. Leuenberger (p); Program director: U. Ackermann-Liebrich (e); Members: P. Alean (am), K. Blaser (a), G. Bolognini (p), J.P. Bongard (p), O. Brändli (p), P. Braun (p), C. Bron (l), M. Brutsche (l), C. Defila (m), G. Domenighetti (p), S. Elsasser (1), L. Grize (s), P. Guldimann (1), P. Hufschmid (1), W. Karrer (p), H. Keller-Wossidlo (o), R. Keller (p), N. Künzli (e), J.C. Luthy (1), B.W. Martin (e), T. Medici (p), C. Monn (am), A.G. Peeters (pa), A.P. Perruchoud (p), A. Radaelli (1), C. Schindler (s), J. Schwartz (s), G. Solari (p), M. Schöni (p), J.M. Tschopp (p), P. Villiger (p), B. Wüthrich (a), J.P. Zellweger (p), E. Zemp (e). (a): allergology, (am): air pollution monitoring, (e): epidemiology, (1): local assistant (MD), (m): meteorology, (o): occupational medecine, (p): pneumology, (pa): pathology, (s): statistics.
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